High Fives: Speedsters Gordon, Hamilton overrated

Top 5 most overrated fantasy commodities heading into '15

1. Freddie Freeman - I want big power from my 1B if I'm taking him that high. Plus, ATL lineup downgraded significantly in offseason

1. Dee Gordon - Last year he did most of his hitting in April (.344 AVG), most of his base-stealing in May (21 SB), and zilch in the second half (.300 OBP)

1.Troy Tulowitzki - A GP-drain in five of seven seasons. Replacement value isn’t high at shortstop. Classic sucker play

2. Billy Hamilton - Gordon is overrated too, but at least he plays SS and is going 20 picks later

2. Victor Martinez - He's 36, coming off career year and already hurt

2.Matt Kemp - Two scary words: “arthritic hips"

3. Elvis Andrus - Even in best year ('11), wasn't a top 60 commodity

3. Bryce Harper - At some point, price should match production

3.Yoenis Cespedes - Not as much pop as you think; BA risk; bags disappearing

4. Rick Porcello - K rate makes him undraftable in IP limit leagues, but someone always banks on a breakout

4. Jay Bruce - Hope he can bounce back, but not paying for it

4.Madison Bumgarner - Coming off monster workload, career ratios good-not-elite (3.06/1.13)

5. Yadier Molina - Paying a lot (90.3 ADP) for a high-mileage C just for a batting average boost

5. Troy Tulowitzki - Near certainty of injury and possibility of trade? No thanks

5.Victor Martinez - Maybe he’s fine, but don’t make favorable health assumptions on big-ticket items

Top 5 most underrated fantasy commodities heading into '15

1. Josh Donaldson - Been top 30 each of past 2 seasons from a premium position, and now gets major home park upgrade

1. Nolan Arenado - Won't surprise me at all if Arenado finishes top-3 at his position in his age-24 season. Friendly park, talented player. Just give us 150 games, please

1.Josh Harrison - It’s so cute when the Regression Police overreact. Three positions of eligibility is lovely, too

2. Alex Wood - Top 25 fantasy SP at age 23, and all arrows pointing up

2. Jorge Soler - Wasn't overmatched in the least after arriving in bigs

2.Michael Brantley - Silly to see him slipping to third/fourth. Versatility often underrated

3. Kolten Wong - Comes cheap despite going 15/21 in 121 games (counting postseason) as a rookie

3. Carlos Santana - Still C-eligible, coming off 27-HR season

3. Nolan Arenado - Dinged-up 2014 held breakout down, but it’s coming

4. Evan Gattis - No. 8 in ADP at C has shot at 30 HRs in Houston

4. Matt Adams - Buried at deep position, should hit for AVG and pop

4.Christian Yelich - All sorts of skills, quietly improving with little fanfare

5. Mike Fiers- K/9 over 9 with good control and has secure spot in rotation now

5. Alex Wood - Nothing too lucky about last year's numbers

5. Brandon McCarthy - Arsenal tweak and ballpark upgrade equal easy profit

Top 5 draft-day targets going outside the Yahoo top 200 ADP

1. Yasmany Tomas - I think a precedent has been established for why you'd gamble on an unknown Cuban with huge power upside

1. Alcides Escobar - He solidly outperformed Elvis Andrus last season, yet we're taking him nearly 100 picks later than the Texas shortstop in 2015. Don't get it

1.A.J. Pollock - First-round pedigree, multiple-category potential. Could be this year’s Blackmon, but producing in all ballparks

2. Collin McHugh - His slider has breathed new life into his flatlining career

2. Adam Eaton - Speed and on-base skills; Sox lineup is improved

2.Wil Myers - Just two years removed from universal acclaim, price has overcorrected

3. Wade Davis - Who can't find room for a 13.63 K/9 high-volume middleman?

3. Mike Zunino - Sure, I'll take a 20-HR catcher outside top-200

3.Mike Napoli - Monstrous upside if sleeping problem fixed

4. Wilson Ramos - A good reason to wait at C - 120 games likely returns 20+ HRs

4. Jonathan Broxton - He's closing and he's dirt-cheap

4.Melky Cabrera - Versatile slasher, still just 30

5. Ken Giles - It's not a matter of if Papelbon will be traded but when

5. Steven Souza - Silly minor league stats, chance to start for Rays

5. Andrew Miller - Non-closing relievers still useful if dominant

Top 5 tweaks/stat changes you'd make to the default Yahoo league set-up

1. Quality Starts > Wins - 6+ innings, 3 earned or less - if a starter does that, he's done his job

1. IP limit - Give us a significant innings-pitched minimum in roto leagues, please

1. Auction over draft - Everyone should have a say on everyone. Takes longer, but it’s time well spent

2. Total Bases - Another way to put a premium on power

2. IP limit - Oh, and bump the weekly innings minimum in head-to-head, too

2. Transaction cap - All pickups come with extra opportunity cost

3. OPS Allowed - Hard for a SP to luck his way into a good number here

3. Draft pick timer - Reduce the time-per-draft-pick to 45 seconds

3. Two catchers - When in doubt, start more players

4. OBP > BA - An obvious one that many owners have long ago adopted

4. SB success - I prefer SB-minus-CS to total steals

4. Say "No" to Holds - A “just show up” category I can’t stand

5. H-2-H weekend-only - Mirroring football set-up w/ points-based matchups running Fri-Sun - use team pitching staffs

5. OF specific- Let's go LF-CF-RF in place of OF-OF-OF

5. Draft earlier - The longer you wait, the more you help weakest links

Top 5 movies you'd take with you if banished to a deserted island for the next decade

1. Shawshank Redemption - If any movie is going to inspire me to persevere in exile, this is it

1. Bull Durham - I'm guessing I'm gonna need a sports fix while island-bound, and I won't want anything that bums me out. So...

1. Rushmore - Obsession, revenge, subtlety, crayons, it’s all here. Unquestionable gem of Wes Anderson catalog

2. Dazed and Confused - Lest I forget what Melbatoast is packin'

2. Hoosiers

2. Sideways - I’m still pissed Giamatti didn’t win everything under sun for this

3. Forrest Gump - Ok, I'm a sentimental sap - my unapologetic guilty pleasure

3. Slap Shot

3. Shawshank Redemption - Slow burn, rewatchable Hall of Fame

4. Pulp Fiction - 1994 was a glorious year in movies

4. Miracle

4. Almost Famous - If you get in a jam, Lester is up late

5. Big Lebowski - The dude abides

5. The Hustler

5. Lost in Translation - Japanese Ice for your soul