Why Bills TE Dalton Kincaid needs to have a ‘monster’ 2024 | Yahoo Fantasy Football Show

Yahoo Sports fantasy analysts Matt Harmon and Dalton Del Don discuss how the Buffalo tight end could perform this coming season with Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis now gone from the team’s receiving corps. Hear the full conversation on the “Yahoo Fantasy Football Show” podcast - and subscribe on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you listen.

Video Transcript

What's the plan for Dalton Kincaid's year two usage?

I think we all agree.

Kincaid had a really good rookie season, Dalton, uh, he had caught 82% of his targets.

He was ninth among all tight ends and targets overall.

But some of the like under the hood stats what I wrote in the piece, they, they're kind of middling, right?

Like if you look at guys that had 75 plus targets, Kincaid was around the bottom of the pack, uh, or bottom or middle of the pack in yards per route run 1.59 and first downs per, per route run.

Um, he wasn't like a featured receiver, right?

Is he gonna be the featured receiver this year?

I think for this bills pass, catching core to come together.

And again, we'll talk about the receivers later on the show, Dalton.

I I think Dalton Kincaid needs to have a monster season, but a lot of that comes back to deployment for me, which again we can, we can talk about here.

Kincaid's so interesting in five games without Dawson Knox last year, averaged 7.5 targets, a 20% target share was the tight end six in Fantasy in 11 games with Knox dropped to 4.9 targets.

14.9 target share the tight end 18, but now Diggs is gone.

Uh Kincaid had a 29% target per outrun rate without Diggs last season.

Diggs and Davis accounted for 80% of their end zone targets last year.

Kincaid scored 19 touchdowns in college compared to five to Sam Laport.

I know if usage was at play there, but there's clear upside with so many vacated targets in Buffalo.

Again, going back to that group of 75 plus target tight ends, Kincade's 60.6% slot round rate according to Pff was the highest, um because he was mostly like a slot receiver.

He wasn't really an in line tight end.

Uh, so, but he was used more like that when Dawson Knox was out, but again, when Knox comes back in week 14 through the AFC championship, uh AFC divisional round TK averaged a 57% snap share.

Like those two things are related.

Can he be a 120 target player?

Can he reach that top three tight end upside so, so much upside and then, so, uh, you can see the downside too as you point out when you looked at a granular and the, it's just, it's interesting because as you said, Curtis Sammy, all these guys can play the shaker.

So how he's deployed is something that we need to pay attention to in the preseason.