Week 12 Player Props

Minty Bets and Matt Harmon offer up their favorite player props for Week 12.

Video Transcript


MATT HARMON: Yes. Let's jump right into it, Minty. We've got an interesting group of players to talk about. Minty, you're starting this thing very off-brand here. Or very on-brand, excuse me, with your first pick here. So let us know why you're taking the under on this poor guy.

MINTY BETS: I thought you were being sarcastic for a second. Yes, my first guy here is Jakobi Meyers. Under 4 and 1/2 receptions. Now he hasn't exceeded this total since week 7, and we're now entering week 12. He's going up against Tennessee's pass defense who's allowing seven yards per attempt and allowing opposing quarterbacks to only complete 62% of passes, which is sixth best in the league. I'm gonna take my chances with the under here. Surprise, surprise.

MATT HARMON: Yeah, very big shock there. Would not shock me at all if the Patriots are just busy establishing the run all day against this Tennessee Titans defense. Trying to avoid that pass rush there. So that one makes sense to me. I am sticking on the positive side here, and I'm going with the over on Elijah Moore at just 56 and 1/2 yards. How disrespectful. Almost as disrespectful as Tank Williams here is this line on Elijah Moore. I mean, we got no Corey Davis this week. We're going against the Houston Texans. Yeah, I know Zach Wilson's back and he's surprisingly been the worst quarterback the Jets could run out all year. But still, I think Elijah Moore is too good to be put back on the bench. With no Corey Davis I think Moore skies past his total, even if he doesn't have the big games we've been seeing with Joe Flacco and Mike White, which I can't believe I'm saying those words. But even if he doesn't have those big games, I still think he can get over this number with Zach Wilson.

MINTY BETS: Yeah. This number is set oddly low for a very poor Houston passive defense. Moore has produced quite high numbers in three of his last four games. My next player I want to talk about is Matt Stafford, over half an interception. Like this has to be an oversight, right. Because he's thrown a pick-- he's thrown seven picks in his last seven games. The Packers defense has recorded the sixth most interceptions. So I mean, essentially betting on Matt Stafford to throw an interception has got to be easy money, right.

MATT HARMON: Yeah. By the way, love that you tooken over. I saw that I was like, oh, Minty's taking it over. But it's still kind of an over on something negative. So that's still, that's still on brand Minty. I like it. By the way, we know Matt Stafford is dealing with like an elbow injury. He's dealing with some kind of back pain. And as you all know, ain't nobody used to have a bad back. So that could definitely be limiting Matt Stafford today and the rest of the season.

My last one here. I'm gonna go with the over on Javonte Williams at 50 and 1/2 rushing yards. Like I mentioned earlier, I feel like this could sort of be the week where things start to trend towards Javonte Williams way. We kind of sort of saw it before the bye week. But even if it is still a straight split between Javonte Williams and Melvin Gordon, like we only need a couple of big runs against the 32nd-ranked Chargers run defense in EPA per rush attempt allowed. And Javonte Williams has been ripping off big runs all year. He's number one in breakaway run percentage per Pro Football Focus among guys with 100 carries. He's up there with like Jonathan Taylor and Nick Chubb. He's extremely explosive. So even if we don't get the full Javonte Williams experience, I think Minty, he can break off a couple of big runs here to get him over this lowly total.

MINTY BETS: Absolutely. Like you mentioned, the Chargers defense allowing the most rushing yards per game and some of the most per carry, too. So I really like this over.

MATT HARMON: Yeah. I think we can get there on all four of these. I'm feeling good about all of them. I'm also feeling good about the fact that we will be back later, Minty, with Yahoo Sportsbook Live. 2:30 PM Eastern, 11:30 AM Pacific, we'll be right here talking about the live [? Lions ?] at halftime for the early games. We love the live bets. We'll see if I can-- I don't think I'm gonna be taking the Rams minus 50 this week, Minty. But if you watch the show, you get that reference. But nevertheless, we will be back here. Make sure you send your questions Yahoo Sportsbook Live Yahoo Fantasy on Twitter. We will be here, so don't go away.

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