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UFC Fight Night 242 predictions: Who's picking Gilbert Burns to upset Sean Brady?

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The UFC is back in its home base this week with welterweights at the top of the lineup, plus a former women's champion in the co-main event.

UFC Fight Night 242 (ESPN+) takes place Saturday at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas.

For more on the card, visit MMA Junkie's event hub for UFC Fight Night 242.

Get main card pick results from our 11 editors, writers, radio hosts and videographers, as well as additional analysis, below.

Yanal Ashmouz vs. Trevor Peek

Trevor Peek vs. Yanal Ashmouz
Trevor Peek vs. Yanal Ashmouz

Records: Ashmouz (7-1 MMA, 1-1 UFC), Peek (9-2 MMA, 2-2 UFC)

Past five: Ashmouz 4-1, Peek 3-2

Division: Lightweight

Rankings: None

Odds (as of 09.07.24): Ashmouz +100, Peek -120

Junkie pick results: Peek 10, Ashmouz 1

Cody Durden vs. Matt Schnell

Matt Schnell vs. Cody Durden
Matt Schnell vs. Cody Durden

Records: Durden (16-6-1 MMA, 5-4-1 UFC), Schnell (16-8 MMA, 6-6 UFC)

Past five: Durden 3-2, Schnell 2-3

Division: Flyweight

Rankings: None

Odds (as of 09.07.24): Durden -280, Schnell +225

Junkie pick results: Schnell 6, Durden 5

Steve Garcia vs. Kyle Nelson

Steve Garcia vs. Kyle Nelson
Steve Garcia vs. Kyle Nelson

Records: Garcia (16-5 MMA, 5-2 UFC), Nelson (16-5-1 MMA, 4-4-1 UFC)

Past five: Garcia 4-1, Nelson 3-1-1

Division: Featherweight

Rankings: None

Odds (as of 09.07.24): Garcia -185, Nelson +165

Junkie pick results: Garcia 10, Nelson 1

Jessica Andrade vs. Natalia Silva

Jessica Andrade vs. Natalia Silva
Jessica Andrade vs. Natalia Silva

Records: Andrade (26-12 MMA, 17-10 UFC), Silva (17-5-1 MMA, 5-0 UFC)

Past five: Andrade 2-3, Silva 5-0

Division: Women's flyweight

Rankings: Silva No. 12, Andrade No. 5 women's strawweight

Odds (as of 09.07.24): Andrade +250, Silva -310

Junkie pick results: Andrade 8, Silva 3

Gilbert Burns vs. Sean Brady

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Records: Burns (22-7 MMA, 15-7 UFC), Brady (16-1 MMA, 6-1 UFC)

Past five: Burns 2-3, Brady 4-1

Division: Welterweight

Rankings: Burns No. 7, Brady No. 9

Odds (as of 09.07.24): Burns +155, Brady -185

Junkie pick results: Brady 8, Burns 3

Preliminary card picks

Jaqueline Amorim vs. Vanessa Demopoulos
Jaqueline Amorim vs. Vanessa Demopoulos

Although they don't count toward the standings, MMA Junkie staff members still pick the fights on the prelims. Here are the results:

  • Chris Padilla vs. Rong Zhu: Padilla 7, Zhu 4

  • Isaac Dulgarian vs. Brendon Marotte: Dulgarian 11, Marotte 0

  • Felipe dos Santos vs. Andre Lima: Lima 6, dos Santos 5

  • Gabriel Santos vs. Yi Zha: Santos 7, Zha 4

  • Jaqueline Amorim vs. Vanessa Demopoulos: Demopoulos 6, Amorim 5

  • Dylan Budka vs. Andre Petroski: Petroski 11, Budka 0

  • Nathan Fletcher vs. Zygimantas Ramaska: Fletcher 8, Ramaska 3

Check out all the main card picks below.

UFC Fight Night 242 main card picks

Burns

vs.

Brady

Andrade

vs.

Silva

Garcia

vs.

Nelson

Durden

vs.

Schnell

Ashmouz

vs.

Peek

MMA Junkie readers'

consensus picks

143-83

Brady

(57%)

Silva

(60%)

Garcia

(72%)

Durden

(56%)

Peek

(67%)

Farah Hannoun

@Farah_Hannoun

148-78

Brady

Andrade

Garcia

Schnell

Peek

Ken Hathaway

@1khathaway

148-78

Brady

Andrade

Garcia

Durden

Peek

Mike Bohn

@MikeBohn

143-83

2014 Champion

Brady

Silva

Garcia

Schnell

Peek

Matt Erickson

@MattE

139-87

Brady

Silva

Garcia

Durden

Peek

Nolan King

@mma_kings

139-87

2023 Champion

Brady

Andrade

Nelson

Durden

Peek

Matthew Wells

@MrMWells

137-89

Brady

Silva

Garcia

Durden

Peek

Simon Samano

@SJSamano

136-90

Brady

Andrade

Garcia

Durden

Peek

Brian Garcia

@thegoze

135-91

Burns

Andrade

Garcia

Schnell

Ashmouz

Abbey Subhan

@kammakaze

135-91

Brady

Andrade

Garcia

Schnell

Peek

Danny Segura

@dannyseguratv

128-98

Burns

Andrade

Garcia

Schnell

Peek

George Garcia

@MMAjunkieGeorge

122-104

Burns

Andrade

Garcia

Schnell

Peek

For more on the card, visit MMA Junkie's event hub for 2024 PFL Playoffs 3.

This article originally appeared on MMA Junkie: UFC Fight Night 242 predictions: Who's picking Gilbert Burns to upset Sean Brady?