Yahoo Sports NFL Week 11 picks: Can Bills knock off unbeaten Chiefs? Bengals test Chargers defense
Los Angeles Times NFL writer Sam Farmer examines the matchups this week. Lines according to FanDuel Sportsbook (O/U = over/under). Record last week 8-6 (.571); season 98-54 (.645). Using point spreads with the scores Farmer predicted, the record against the spread last week would have been 6-8 (.429); season 82-69-1 (.543). Off: Cardinals, Buccaneers, Panthers, Giants. Times Pacific. TV channels are Los Angeles local.
COMMANDERS (7-3) AT EAGLES (7-2)
Tonight, 5:15. TV: Amazon Prime Video
Line: Eagles by 3½. O/U: 48½.
The Eagles are on a roll, having won five in a row since their off week. Saquon Barkley was a phenomenal acquisition. After three straight wins over bad teams, the Commanders were edged by Pittsburgh.
Pick: Eagles 30, Commanders 21
RAMS (4-5) AT PATRIOTS (3-7)
Sunday, 10 a.m. TV: Channel 11 (Fox)
Line: Rams by 4½. O/U: 43½.
Drake Maye is a guy to watch, and the Patriots have won two of their last three. The Rams were embarrassed against the Dolphins and should be able to bounce back, though they aren’t blowing out anybody.
Pick: Rams 24, Patriots 18
RAVENS (7-3) AT STEELERS (7-2)
Sunday, 10 a.m. TV: Channel 2 (CBS)
Line: Ravens by 3. O/U: 48½.
The Steelers are making believers of the critics, and Russell Wilson still throws a beautiful deep ball. Baltimore has a ton of weapons, but this isn’t one of those classic Ravens defenses.
Pick: Steelers 27, Ravens 24
PACKERS (6-3) AT BEARS (4-5)
Sunday, 10 a.m. TV: NFL Ticket
Line: Packers by 5½. O/U: 40½.
The Packers are fresh after a week off. That gave them some time to self-scout and for Jordan Love to get healthier. After an impressive stretch, Chicago has been a mess three games in a row.
Pick: Packers 24, Bears 13
JAGUARS (2-8) AT LIONS (8-1)
Sunday, 10 a.m. TV: NFL Ticket
Line: Lions by 13½. O/U: 47½.
Jared Goff gets picked off five times and the Lions still win? This team believes — and for good reason. There’s always a chance of a letdown, but that’s unlikely at home against a two-win opponent.
Pick: Lions 31, Jaguars 17
RAIDERS (2-7) AT DOLPHINS (3-6)
Sunday, 10 a.m. TV: NFL Ticket
Line: Dolphins by 7½. O/U: 44½.
That was an impressive win at the Rams for Miami. The Raiders will have a tough time keeping pace offensively in this matchup. That said, the Raiders are rested and their pass rush isn’t bad.
Pick: Dolphins 23, Raiders 16
BROWNS (2-7) AT SAINTS (3-7)
Sunday, 10 a.m. TV: NFL Ticket
Line: Saints by 1½. O/U: 44½.
Teams that change coaches tend to get a one-week bounce, and the Saints got that last week. Jameis Winston knows this Saints team, which no longer has Marshon Lattimore.
Pick: Browns 20, Saints 17
VIKINGS (7-2) AT TITANS (2-7)
Sunday, 10 a.m. TV: NFL Ticket
Line: Vikings by 5½. O/U: 40½.
Sam Darnold has had five interceptions in the last two games, even though his Vikings have held on to win. Fortunately for Minnesota, the Titans can’t score and their defense is on the field too long.
Pick: Vikings 24, Titans 16
COLTS (4-6) AT JETS (3-7)
Sunday, 10 a.m. TV: NFL Ticket
Line: Jets by 3½. O/U: 43½.
Difficult to have any trust in Jets, who were absolutely manhandled by Arizona, but the Colts don’t have much to offer, either — plus, they’re on the road. Home team holds on.
Pick: Jets 17, Colts 16
FALCONS (6-4) AT BRONCOS (5-5)
Sunday, 1:05 p.m. TV: NFL Ticket
Line: Broncos by 2½. O/U: 44½.
The Falcons are looking to bounce back after losing to New Orleans, and Denver’s defense is pretty good. Bo Nix is having a solid season and Denver keeps this one close. Atlanta hangs on.
Pick: Falcons 21, Broncos 17
SEAHAWKS (4-5) AT 49ERS (5-4)
Sunday, 1:05 p.m. TV: NFL Ticket
Line: 49ers by 6½. O/U: 49½.
This is around the time of year the 49ers really fire their engines and start stacking wins. Christian McCaffrey is poised to truly resurface. Rested Seahawks keep this close.
Pick: 49ers 27, Seahawks 23
CHIEFS (9-0) AT BILLS (8-2)
Sunday, 1:25 p.m. TV: Channel 2 (CBS)
Line: Bills by 1½. O/U: 46½.
The Chiefs narrowly avoided a home loss to Denver and can’t be overjoyed about their play. Buffalo’s a little more banged up than most. Here’s betting the Bills put a first blemish on that gaudy KC record.
Pick: Bills 24, Chiefs 20
BENGALS (4-6) AT CHARGERS (6-3)
Sunday, 5:20 p.m. TV: Channel 4 (NBC)
Line: Chargers by 1½. O/U: 46½.
The Chargers are stacking wins and gaining confidence, having scored a season-high 27 in consecutive weeks. The Bengals have been a bit more up and down lately, but they’re desperate.
Pick: Bengals 27, Chargers 23
TEXANS (6-4) AT COWBOYS (3-6)
Monday, 5:15 p.m. TV: Channel 7 (ABC), ESPN
Line: Texans by 7½. O/U: 42½.
The Texans take advantage of their in-state rivals. When else are they going to catch the Cowboys with a bunch of guys hurt and Cooper Rush at quarterback? Dallas will have a tough time scoring.
Pick: Texans 26, Cowboys 13
This story originally appeared in Los Angeles Times.
