Count On Auston Matthews, Jake Guentzel Adding to High-Scoring Leafs Bolts Matchup

Monday night is the ultimate opportunity for NHL fans, with a nine game slate of thrilling matchups that fans eagerly anticipate. The game that sticks out is another chapter in the rivalry between the Tampa Bay Lightning and the Toronto Maple Leafs.

For bettors, this matchup provides a chance to capitalize on some of our recent strong trends, like our 13-9 record on our last 22 picks and our 20-14 record on our last 34 player prop picks.

All betting lines are from Bet365 and are subject to change. Hockey is a difficult sport to predict so please gamble responsibly.

Bet: Lightning Maple Leafs Over 6.5 goals (-105), Auston Matthews anytime goal (-115), Jake Guentzel Over 0.5 points (-150)

It seems the Bolts have left their road success in 2024 with a 1-4-1 record on the road since the start of January. They will look to snap their horrid road skid in a tight matchup for them against the Maple Leafs, who they've split of their last 12 road matchups against.

Toronto is a very different looking team this season with their defence starting to play a more prominent role as they rep a 2.59 home goals against average, which ranks top ten in the NHL. However, this has started to fade as of late with their goals against average spiking to 3.60 over their last ten home games dating back to mid-December.

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In their last matchup in Toronto, the Bolts were stuffed for just two goals in a 5-2 rout. I expect Tampa Bay to play a much better game as they may catch Toronto's defence off guard and should push this game far past seven goals.

These two teams have recorded that many goals in seven of their last 12 matchups in Toronto as well as the Leafs totaling over seven goals in six of their last ten home games.

The abundance of goals should make it a great matchup for Auston Matthews, who is red hot lately with four goals in his last three games. The Leafs captain normally torches the Bolts with nine goals in their last ten matchups.

Tampa Bay should respond with a healthy dose of Nikita Kucherov and Brayden Point. The Bolts top line duo has been red hot with a combined seven goals, eight assists for 15 points in their last six games and should help the third member of their line in Jake Guentzel produce. The two-time Stanley Cup Champion with the Pittsburgh Penguins has flourished on Kucherov's line with two goals and four assists for six points over his last four games.

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