Bringin' the Noise: The Butler hit it

Fantasy Flames

Player

Team

Pos

Y!RK

Y!%

Kerry Wood

RP

--

82.5

'08 Stats (Spring):

10.0 IP, 3.60 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 10:0 K:BB, 1 S

Market Value:

Strong Buy

Lowdown:

The recently ordained Cubs closer is out to prove he's hickory strong and not cedar soft. Despite Lou Pinellas's blatantly obvious hints, many owners refused to believe that the fragile converted starter would triumph over flamethrower Carlos Marmol this spring. Well, just as I predicted weeks ago, he did. In 10.0 spring innings, Wood's command was impeccable, notching a 10:0 K:BB split. More importantly, the velocity on his fastball routinely registered between 95 and 98 mph on the gun. Skeptics will continue to discredit the 30-year-old veteran because of his long history of DL stints, which is understandable. However, with an inner drive to prove his critics wrong, Wood will thrive in his new role. With the Cubs expected to be a viable NL contender this season, it's certainly possible the artist formerly known as Kid K, will emerge as one of the league's elite closers. Classify him alongside such notable top-15 stoppers as Matt Capps, Manny Corpas and Rafael Soriano. Projection: 65 IP, 3.33 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 76 K, 4 W, 36 S

Johnny Cueto

SP

--

N/A

'08 Stats (Spring):

13.2 IP, 5.27 ERA, 1.52 WHIP, 12:9 K:BB

Market Value:

Moderate Buy

Lowdown:

El Toro de Bebe (the Baby Bull) has captivated the minds of fantasy owners, and Dusty Baker, with an electrifying spring. Cool as a cucumber, the 22-year-old Dominican dandy aggressively attacks hitters with the savvy of a 10-year vet. Equipped with a deadly arsenal, which includes a hard-biting, mid-80s slider and plus curve, Cueto's most lethal pitch is his blazing 93-94 mph fastball that occasionally smokes the gun at 97 mph. In 161.1 IP between High-A and Triple-A last season, he amassed an eye-popping 9.49 K/9, 3.07 ERA and 1.12 WHIP. Slotted into the No. 3 spot in the Reds rotation, the 5-foot-10, 190-pound hurler has the stuff and bravado to be an effective back-of-the-rotation starter in 12-team mixed leagues. However, it's imperative to keep expectations realistic. At times he'll appear dominant, but on other occasions, as seen in his 0.2 IP, 5 ER, 5 BBs implosion versus Tampa on Mar. 23, his polish will vanish. Given Cueto's callowness, unfriendly home surroundings and Dusty's destructive history, expect a finishing 2008 line around 160 IP, 4.12 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 149 Ks, 9 Ws. Expect Cueto to hit Y! waivers possibly as early as next week. However, unless you're in an NL-only keeper league, don't spend your top waiver priority. Honestly, Edison Volquez could be the brightest youngster in the Cincy rotation this season.

Carlos Gomez

OF

--

1.6

'08 Stats (Spring):

56 at-bats, .286 BA, 1 HR, 6 RBI, 13 R, 10 SB

Market Value:

Moderate Buy

Lowdown:

Gomez, acquired in the blockbuster Johan Santana deal, is a Minnesota Missile. Officially named the Twinkies starting centerfielder on March 24, the ultra-quick 22-year-old is similar in style to Jerry Owens and Eugenio Velez. Playing for Single-A Hagerstown and Double-A Binghamton in the Mets organization from '05-'06, the fleet-footed outfielder totaled a combined 105 swipes. Given his blistering bat speed, leadoff spot in the Twinkies' order and rubber-burning wheels, Gomez could vie for the American League stolen base crown this season. However, with a horrendous 11:2 K:BB split in 56 spring at-bats, his OBP and BA numbers could suffer if he doesn't quickly learn patience. Ron Gardenhire, who was the eighth-most aggressive manager on the basepaths last season, has historically never been fond of red lights, which means he could register 35-plus steals and 85-plus runs with an OBP of .330 or better. Owners with a need for speed should scour the wire immediately for the hypersonic outfielder.

Eugenio Velez

2B

--

0.94

'08 Stats (Spring):

76 at-bats, .303 BA, 1 HR, 13 RBI, 15 R, 14 SB

Market Value:

Moderate Buy

Lowdown:

The loss of Kevin Frandsen to a ruptured Achilles rockets the San Francisco speed demon's value skyward. In 76 at-bats, the Vince Coleman of spring training base burglars is 14-for-17 in stolen base attempts. Unlike most speed-exclusive players (e.g. Juan Pierre), the switch-hitting former Rule 5 pick possesses adequate gap power, especially from the left side of the plate. Last season, logging 407 at-bats between Double-A and the senior club, the 22-year-old gazelle swiped 58 bags and posted a sensational .351 OBP. With Ray Durham a walking corpse and the subject of trade rumors, it's possible Velez could accumulate 300-plus at-bats this season splitting time between second and center. Given his high contact rates and relatively keen eye, it's plausible he could steal 30 bags and be a serviceable source of runs. Although second base is loaded this season with quality talent, Velez is a worthy pick-up in all 14-team and deeper mixed leagues.

Alexei Ramirez

2B, SS, OF

--

N/A

'08 Stats (Spring):

58 at-bats, .345 BA, 1 HR, 13 RBI, 10 R, 0 SB

Market Value:

Moderate Buy

Lowdown:

Ramirez, one of the more mysterious players this spring, has shed his cloak of obscurity and emerged a viable fantasy prospect. Expected to be added to Y! free agent pools sometime next week, Ramirez is a fantasy Swiss Army knife who will likely be eligible at three positions (2B, SS and OF) at some point this season. Scouts have raved about the Cuban defector's smooth, line-drive stroke, superb contact rates and above-average power. In 521 Cuban League games from 2001-2007, Ramirez laced a .334 BA, totaled 73 homers and drove in 328 runners. An intelligent player who has a natural grasp for the nuances of the game, Ramirez is expected to platoon with Pablo Ozuna and Juan Uribe at second and be a temporary fill in for Jerry Owens, who is on the 15-day DL with a groin injury, in center. During the first half of April, consider Ramirez a respectable middle infielder/utility player in Grand Canyon-deep mixed formats. Although he's showcased more of a prosthetic hook than a glove at times at second, his offensive contributions will likely earn him at least a semi-regular role by June. For now, view the 26-year-old as a more versatile and faster version of Freddy Sanchez. With 350 at-bats expect an end season line around: .295 BA, 12 HRs, 59 RBIs, 66 Rs and 8 SBs.

Fantasy Lames

Player

Team

Pos

Y!RK

Y!%

Rich Hill

SP

--

99.7

'08 Stats (Spring):

17.2 IP, 6.11 ERA, 2.03 WHIP, 15:15 K:BB

Market Value:

Hold

Lowdown:

Because of Hill's horrific spring, the record playing on my cranium jukebox isn't Clapton's "Wonderful Tonight," it's J. Geils' "Love Stinks" – Yeah, yeah! My main fantasy flame has had a tumultuous spring, to say the least. In 17.2 innings, the 29-year-old southpaw has walked a deplorable 15 batters and posted an equally detestable 6.11 ERA. Capped by a six-walk implosion versus Colorado on March 21, Hill's string of awful performances is worrisome. Lou Piniella has been steadfast that Hill's velocity and rotation on his pitches have been consistent, suggesting that his shortcomings are mental. Despite his recent problems, a standout '08 is still in the forecast. Although erratic at times last season, the Cubs tosser showed significant improvements in several departments, most notably in K/9 ('06: 8.15, '07: 8.45), BB/9 (3.53, 2.91), FB% (51.6, 42.9) and GB% (30.0, 36.0). It's possible his spring struggles could spill over into April, but entering his peak pitching years it seems unlikely Hill would suffer a Rick Ankiel-like nuclear fallout. If he can shake off the rust and regain his focus, which I steadfastly believe he will, the nastiest hammer thrower in baseball will be the stellar No. 2 we projected he would be. Keep the faith.

Francisco Liriano

SP

--

99.6

'08 Stats (Spring):

10.2 IP, 5.06 ERA, 1.76 WHIP, 8:7 K:BB

Market Value:

Moderate Buy

Lowdown:

Many owners, including yours truly, were quick to jump the gun on Liriano's return from Tommy John surgery. In MockDraftCentral drafts, the bazooka-armed southpaw was drafted around pick 115 on average, ahead of healthier commodities like Matt Cain, Brett Myers and Chad Billingsley. Although he dazzled in his March 23 appearance, tossing four innings of shutout ball with five strikeouts and two walks, Liriano's velocity peaked at 94 mph, some 3-4 ticks below his pre-surgery speed. More disconcerting, his lack of confidence in his slider, his most catastrophic pitch, has made him mortal. Until Liriano feels comfortable with his money pitch, his numbers will suffer. Twins manager Ron Gardenhire has said he wants "to do the right things" with Liriano, implying that his future ace may need some time in the minors to reconstruct his confidence. Even with one last strong spring outing, it's probably best the 24-year-old fireballer bales hay on the farm for the first month or two of the season. If he cannonballs into your waiver pool, throw a life preserver for him immediately. Sure the monstrous Liriano of 2006 probably won't resurface until at least June, but once he recaptures his command and moxie, he'll again be one of the most desired young guns in fantasy.

Juan Pierre

OF

--

99.3

'08 Stats (Spring):

73 at-bats, .192 BA, 0 HR, 4 RBI, 8 R, 6 SB

Market Value:

Strong Sell

Lowdown:

For the entire spring, Pierre's wheels have been parked in the garage with the engine running and the door closed. In reality, Pierre is a leadoff abomination. His intolerable sub -.335 OBP in three consecutive seasons, lowly 4.9 BB% since 2005 and suspect defense have labeled him arguably the most over-hyped hitter in baseball. But, in fantasy terms, Pierre's adroit stolen base skills have made him highly desirable. However, that's about to change. Upstart Andre Ethier has embarrassed Pierre in the field and at the plate this spring, which could force the 30-year-old veteran into a reduced role. In 73 dreadful spring at-bats, Pierre has slapped a pathetic .192 BA and posted an equally disgraceful .253 OBP. Meanwhile, Ethier has tallied a magnificent .488 OBP, .369 BA, six homers and 15 RBIs. Joe Torre has been tight-lipped about who will win trot out to left on Opening Day, but based on spring performance, it appears Pierre's days as a regular are in jeopardy. Since there is an abundance of speed currently available on waivers in a majority of Y! leagues (e.g. Carlos Gomez, Dave Roberts and Nate McLouth), Pierre is expendable.

Evan Longoria

3B

--

75.9

'08 Stats (Spring):

42 at-bats, .262 BA, 3 HR, 10 RBI, 12 R, 2 SB

Market Value:

Hold

Lowdown:

Above Andrew Friedman's office door there must be a sign that reads, "Committed to being hopelessly mediocre." Regardless if demoting Longoria to Triple-A was an economically influenced transaction or not – Friedman claims it was not a motivating factor – it was an unintelligent move. Yes, several offspeed pitches made the super prospect look foolish at times this spring, but his .262 BA, three homers, 10 RBIs and astounding .407 OBP notched in 42 at-bats undeniably outclassed opening day starter Willy Aybar. Equally as baffling, Longoria appeared more polished defensively than the journeyman utility infielder. Ultimately, Longoria's additional time in Durham – he only recorded 104 at-bats there last season – will be beneficial in the long run. If the 22-year-old can lay off outside pitches, he could be the most profitable offensive rookie this season. Stash him on your bench and count the days until June 1. Even with 400 at-bats, he's capable of tallying a .275-plus BA with 18-24 homers and abundant RBIs.

Jarrod Saltalamacchia

C, 1B

--

97.3

'08 Stats (Spring):

32 at-bats, .250 BA, 2 HR, 8 RBI, 7 R, 0 SB

Market Value:

Moderate Sell

Lowdown:

After losing the starting backstop job to the more defensively efficient Gerald Laird, the Sultan of Sodium, and his owners, are feeling a little salty. Still very green behind the dish, the 22-year-old Saltalamacchia would benefit greatly from full-time work at Triple-A, but Rangers management is still toying with the idea of breaking camp with the switch-hitting youngster. Even if that did occur, Salty's fantasy value would be rather miniscule. With primary DH Frank Catalanotto a more serviceable hitter versus righties, Salty would earn most of his at-bats against southpaws – not a promising proposition. Unless Laird or Catalanotto were felled by a significant injury, it seems likely the former Braves top prospect will be limited to roughly 300 at-bats. Hang onto him in all keeper and AL-only formats, but cutting Salty in favor of full-timers Josh Bard (4.8 percent owned) or Chris Snyder (6.7 percent owned) in yearly mixed leagues would be a sage move.