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The best NFL Wild Card Weekend anytime TD scorer bets, including Justin Jefferson

MINNEAPOLIS, MINNESOTA - DECEMBER 16: Justin Jefferson #18 of the Minnesota Vikings celebrates a first quarter touchdown against the Chicago Bears at U.S. Bank Stadium on December 16, 2024 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. (Photo by David Berding/Getty Images) ORG XMIT: 776151547 ORIG FILE ID: 2190313975
MINNEAPOLIS, MINNESOTA - DECEMBER 16: Justin Jefferson #18 of the Minnesota Vikings celebrates a first quarter touchdown against the Chicago Bears at U.S. Bank Stadium on December 16, 2024 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. (Photo by David Berding/Getty Images) ORG XMIT: 776151547 ORIG FILE ID: 2190313975

It's playoff time in the NFL, when the intensity increases and attention to detail is paramount. But that doesn't mean defenses will dominate and scoring will fall off across the board. Wild Card games are 8-4 to the over in the last two years, so bet those anytime touchdown scorers with confidence.

Which players are most likely to score is a different question. But knowing the postseason is when a team's best players are supposed to shine most, this isn't the time to be chasing long-shot value without a good reason. With that said, these are my favorite TD bets from each game of Wild Card Weekend.

Odds via BetMGM

Chargers at Texans: Ladd McConkey (+125)

Dec 28, 2024; Foxborough, Massachusetts, USA; Los Angeles Chargers wide receiver Ladd McConkey (15) celebrates after scoring a touchdown against the New England Patriots during the second half at Gillette Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Gregory Fisher-Imagn Images ORG XMIT: IMAGN-881116 ORIG FILE ID: 20241228_gma_fb5_0272.jpg
Dec 28, 2024; Foxborough, Massachusetts, USA; Los Angeles Chargers wide receiver Ladd McConkey (15) celebrates after scoring a touchdown against the New England Patriots during the second half at Gillette Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Gregory Fisher-Imagn Images ORG XMIT: IMAGN-881116 ORIG FILE ID: 20241228_gma_fb5_0272.jpg

McConkey has the best odds to score outside of the two starting running backs, which may be a bit surprising considering Nico Collins (+150) is maybe the best individual playmaker in this game, but it's warranted. Collins could see multiple defenders every snap with Tank Dell out. McConkey, on the other hand, has only seen his production from the slot increase as the season has gone on, with three of his seven touchdowns coming in the last four games.

Steelers at Ravens: Mark Andrews (+130)

Jan 4, 2025; Baltimore, Maryland, USA; Baltimore Ravens tight end Mark Andrews (89) scores a touch down during the second quarter against the Cleveland Browns at M&T Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Tommy Gilligan-Imagn Images ORG XMIT: IMAGN-881129 ORIG FILE ID: 20250104_tdc_gb3_0062.JPG
Jan 4, 2025; Baltimore, Maryland, USA; Baltimore Ravens tight end Mark Andrews (89) scores a touch down during the second quarter against the Cleveland Browns at M&T Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Tommy Gilligan-Imagn Images ORG XMIT: IMAGN-881129 ORIG FILE ID: 20250104_tdc_gb3_0062.JPG

I also love Derrick Henry (-190) to score a touchdown, because how can you not? The man has a TD in all but five games this season. But I can't resist the value on Andrews, who recorded a career-high 11 touchdowns this season, including one in each of the last six games. With Zay Flowers now ruled out for Saturday, Andrews will only be targeted more, which should increase his chances to score.

Broncos at Bills: Audric Estime (+375)

Dec 19, 2024; Inglewood, California, USA; Denver Broncos running back Audric Estime (23) celebrates after a touchdown in the first half against the Los Angeles Chargers at SoFi Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jayne Kamin-Oncea-Imagn Images ORG XMIT: IMAGN-881105 ORIG FILE ID: 20241219_jko_aj4_087.JPG
Dec 19, 2024; Inglewood, California, USA; Denver Broncos running back Audric Estime (23) celebrates after a touchdown in the first half against the Los Angeles Chargers at SoFi Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jayne Kamin-Oncea-Imagn Images ORG XMIT: IMAGN-881105 ORIG FILE ID: 20241219_jko_aj4_087.JPG

This is a little bit of a wild card pick (no pun intended), which any Broncos running back would be. Between Estime, Jaleel McLaughlin (+333) and Javonte Williams (+325), it's hard to say which player will see the most action. What I do know is Estime has been getting those important goal-line carries lately, scoring twice in his last three games as his snap count has increased down the stretch of the season. So, I'll roll with him at these odds.

Packers at Eagles: Saquon Barkley (-165)

Dec 29, 2024; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Eagles running back Saquon Barkley (26) runs with the ball past Dallas Cowboys safety Juanyeh Thomas (30) at Lincoln Financial Field. Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-Imagn Images
Dec 29, 2024; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Eagles running back Saquon Barkley (26) runs with the ball past Dallas Cowboys safety Juanyeh Thomas (30) at Lincoln Financial Field. Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-Imagn Images

I'm not even going to play around with trying to find more value in this one, because these teams both spread the ball around way too much. The most sure bet is Barkley, the guy with 15 combined touchdowns who would have had more if his quarterback didn't take every goal-line carry. Speaking of, with Jalen Hurts (-120) in his first game back from a concussion, could Philly just opt to give Barkley those goal-line carries?

Commanders at Buccaneers: Jayden Daniels (+185)

Jan 5, 2025; Arlington, Texas, USA; Washington Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels (5) runs the ball against the Dallas Cowboys during the second quarter at AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Tim Heitman-Imagn Images ORG XMIT: IMAGN-881130 ORIG FILE ID: 20250105_szo_sh2_0119.JPG
Jan 5, 2025; Arlington, Texas, USA; Washington Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels (5) runs the ball against the Dallas Cowboys during the second quarter at AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Tim Heitman-Imagn Images ORG XMIT: IMAGN-881130 ORIG FILE ID: 20250105_szo_sh2_0119.JPG

With this game having the highest over/under of the week, I could pick any number of players to score and probably be right, including Bucky Irving (-150), Mike Evans (+100), Terry McLaurin (+120) and Cade Otton (+260), all of whom I like. However, I'm rolling with Daniels because he's a rookie in his first playoff game, on the road. So, when things break down, he may not have the patience to hang in the pocket too long. Which isn't a big deal when you run as well as he does.

Vikings at Rams: Justin Jefferson (-120)

Jan 5, 2025; Detroit, Michigan, USA; Minnesota Vikings wide receiver Justin Jefferson (18) makes a catch against the Detroit Lions during the first half at Ford Field. Mandatory Credit: David Reginek-Imagn Images ORG XMIT: IMAGN-881132 ORIG FILE ID: 20250105_ajw_kd7_223.jpg
Jan 5, 2025; Detroit, Michigan, USA; Minnesota Vikings wide receiver Justin Jefferson (18) makes a catch against the Detroit Lions during the first half at Ford Field. Mandatory Credit: David Reginek-Imagn Images ORG XMIT: IMAGN-881132 ORIG FILE ID: 20250105_ajw_kd7_223.jpg

These odds were -105 just a couple days ago and I couldn't believe we were getting almost even odds, because who in the world is supposed to guard Jefferson in LA's secondary? Especially when they also have to keep eyes on Jordan Addison, who's also capable of making big plays. The betting public made sure those odds didn't remain so long. My other favorite plays from this game are Kyren Williams (-145), T.J. Hockenson (+210) and Puka Nacua (+110).

This article originally appeared on For The Win: The best NFL Wild Card Weekend anytime TD scorer bets, including Justin Jefferson