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The best college football win total bets for each conference
The college football season is rapidly approaching, so Bovada released some updated win total odds for every FBS team in the country this week.
We’ve listed the full slew of odds by conference, Power Five first (sorry, AAC), and some of the best over/under bets on the board for each league.
Let’s go.
ACC
Atlantic Division
Boston College: 4
Clemson: 9.5
Florida State: 9.5
Louisville: 9.5
NC State: 7.5
Syracuse: 4.5
Wake Forest: 5.5
Best bet: Syracuse (OVER) – Dino Babers’ teams play hard and fast. The Orange won four games in 2016 without a defense and should run through a pretty easy non-conference slate at 3-0. The schedule is tough, but it’d be a surprise if the Orange couldn’t muster at least two wins in conference to get over that 4.5 mark.
Coastal Division
Duke: 5.5
Georgia Tech: 6.5
Miami: 9
North Carolina: 7
Pittsburgh: 7
Virginia: 5
Virginia Tech: 9
Best bet: Virginia (UNDER) – Virginia steadily improved in its first year under Bronco Mendenhall, but still only won two games. Mendenhall gets a lot out of his teams, but the Cavaliers don’t have enough talent (or an easy enough schedule) to jump up three wins.
Big 12
Baylor: 7.5
Iowa State: 5.5
Kansas: 3
Kansas State: 8
Oklahoma: 9.5
Oklahoma State: 9
TCU: 7.5
Texas: 7.5
Texas Tech: 5.5
West Virginia: 7
Best bet: Texas Tech (UNDER) – I don’t see much reason to think this Texas Tech team will be any better than last year. The defense might improve, but it’s still bad. And Patrick Mahomes is gone. This looks like another 5-7 year, which could spell the end of the Kliff Kingsbury era.
Big Ten
East Division
Indiana: 6
Maryland: 3.5
Michigan: 9
Michigan State: 6.5
Ohio State: 10.5
Penn State: 9.5
Rutgers: 3
Best bet: Michigan State (UNDER) – One of the things that made 2016’s 3-9 record so unexpected for the Spartans was the fact they returned so much of their talent. In addition to replacing seniors, the 2017 squad has to overcome a lot of offseason attrition, so 6-6 seems like a best-case scenario.
West Division
Illinois: 3.5
Iowa: 6.5
Minnesota: 7.5
Nebraska: 7
Northwestern: 8
Purdue: 2.5
Wisconsin: 9.5
Best bet: Minnesota (UNDER) – I’ll be honest, I have no idea what to expect from Minnesota in its first season under P.J. Fleck. But 7.5 feels like a high number, doesn’t it? The first half of the schedule should be enough to put the Gophers in a bowl, but I have a hard time finding eight wins on that slate.
Pac-12
North Division
California: 3.5
Oregon: 8
Oregon State: 5.5
Stanford: 8.5
Washington: 10
Washington State: 7.5
Best bet: Oregon (PUSH) – Forgive me for not being completely sold on the Oregon turnaround just yet. The team will be better in 2017, no doubt. But I still have questions about that defense. A lot of games on the schedule look like toss-ups and this team could be in for some shootouts. I’m thinking a 7-5 regular season record with a bowl win. There’s eight.
South Division
Arizona: 5.5
Arizona State: 5
Colorado: 7.5
UCLA: 6.5
USC: 9.5
Utah: 6.5
Best bet: USC (OVER) – USC has the luxury of missing Washington and Oregon on the schedule while getting Stanford (and Texas on the non-con) at home. The Trojans’ toughest road game is probably an October trip to Notre Dame they’ll probably be favored in. Double-digit wins looks good.
SEC
East Division
Florida: 8
Georgia: 8.5
Kentucky: 7
Missouri: 6.5
South Carolina: 5.5
Tennessee: 7.5
Vanderbilt: 6
Best bet: South Carolina (OVER) – I think the Gamecocks can surprise some people this season. Heck, nobody expected them to make a bowl last year. The large majority of that team is back. Another postseason appearance seems like a pretty good bet.
West Division
Alabama: 10.5
Arkansas: 7
Auburn: 8.5
LSU: 9
Mississippi State: 5.5
Ole Miss: 5.5
Texas A&M: 7
Best bet: Mississippi State (OVER) – MSU has only failed to reach the six-win mark once under Dan Mullen, and that was in his first season (APR helped the cause last year). With Nick Fitzgerald back at QB in 2017, I like the Bulldogs to get back to a bowl.
Independent
Army: 7.5
BYU: 8.5
Notre Dame: 7.5
UMass: 3
Best bet: BYU (UNDER) – BYU will probably a heavy favorite in final six regular season games, but it has to contend with the likes of LSU, Utah, Wisconsin, Boise State and Mississippi State before then. That’s a really rough slate for any team, and I’m not sure I see nine wins this year.
AAC
East Division
Cincinnati: 5.5
Connecticut: 3.5
East Carolina: 3.5
South Florida: 10
Temple: 6.5
UCF: 7.5
Best bet: Temple (OVER) – Temple is always one of those teams you don’t want to face. The Owls were always so tough under Matt Rhule and that finally culminated in an AAC title last year. Sure there’s a lot to replace, including Rhule, but three games that look like toss-ups on paper — Houston, Navy and UCF — are all home games. Give me the over.
West Division
Houston: 8
Memphis: 8.5
Navy: 7
SMU: 5
Tulane: 5
Tulsa: 7.5
Best bet: Navy (OVER) – Ken Niumatalolo has built one of the most consistent programs in the country at Navy, winning at least eight games in eight of his nine seasons. I don’t really see a compelling reason why that won’t happen again.
Conference USA
East Division
Charlotte: 4
FAU: 4.5
FIU: 4.5
Marshall: 5
Middle Tennessee: 7
Old Dominion: 6.5
Western Kentucky: 9.5
Best bet: Middle Tennessee (OVER) – This is a hard one because it feels like the division is wide open after WKU. These numbers certainly reflect that. But I’m rolling with Middle Tennessee because of its prolific offense behind Brent Stockstill and Richie James. That MTSU defense ain’t great, but maybe they can get to eight wins in a bowl game.
West Division
Louisiana Tech: 8.5
North Texas: 4.5
Rice: 3.5
Southern Miss: 7
UAB: 2.5
UTEP: 2.5
UTSA: 6.5
Best bet: North Texas (OVER) – Seth Littrell did a really nice job in his first season and I see North Texas continuing on an upward trajectory. The Mean Green don’t have enough talent to compete for a C-USA title, but having UAB, UTEP and Rice in the same division should get UNT around the five-or-six-win mark.
Mid-American
East Division
Akron: 5
Bowling Green: 5
Buffalo: 3.5
Kent State: 3.5
Miami (Ohio): 8
Ohio: 7.5
Best bet: Bowling Green (OVER) – After Dino Babers left for Syracuse, Bowling Green fell off a cliff. The margin of defeat in some of those early 2016 games were staggering, but the Falcons managed to win their final three games against MAC bottom-feeders. BGSU’s conference schedule is pretty favorable in terms of home-and-away, so I like the Falcons to return to the postseason.
West Division
Ball State: 5.5
Central Michigan: 6.5
Eastern Michigan: 4.5
Northern Illinois: 6
Toledo: 8.5
Western Michigan: 8.5
Best bet: Eastern Michigan (OVER) – Eastern Michigan won seven games and played in its second bowl game in program history last year. The Eagles return most of its skill position talent in 2017 and could go bowling again.
Mountain West
Mountain Division
Air Force: 5
Boise State: 8.5
Colorado State: 7.5
New Mexico: 5.5
Utah State: 4.5
Wyoming: 8
Best bet: Utah State (OVER) – Utah State plays some of its toughest opponents at home and many of its weakest opponents on the road in 2017. Coming off a three-win record with some close losses, look for some of those games to go in the Aggies’ favor in 2017.
West Division
Fresno State: 4
Hawaii: 4.5
Nevada: 3.5
San Diego State: 9.5
San Jose State: 3.5
UNLV: 5.5
Best bet: Hawaii (OVER) – This is one of the weaker divisions in college football after San Diego State. Hawaii won seven games in its first season under Nick Rolovich. The offense looks like it has some nice pieces. If the Rainbow Warriors can withstand another brutal travel schedule, there’s no reason they can’t win five games.
Sun Belt
Appalachian State: 9
Arkansas State: 7.5
Coastal Carolina: 4
Georgia Southern: 5
Georgia State: 5
Idaho: 4.5
Louisiana Lafayette: 5
Louisiana Monroe: 3.5
New Mexico State: 3.5
South Alabama: 4
Texas State: 2.5
Troy: 8.5
Best bet: Georgia Southern (OVER) – This pick is based mainly on a stretch of five very winnable games from Oct. 4 to Nov. 4, plus games against New Hampshire, South Alabama and Coastal Carolina. If Georgia Southern can’t pluck five or six wins out of that crop, Tyson Summers will be on an even shorter leash.
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Sam Cooper is a writer for the Yahoo Sports blogs. Have a tip? Email him or follow him on Twitter!
