Shutdown Corner

Computer’s pick after 50,000 Super Bowl simulations? San Francisco 28, Baltimore 21

Shutdown Corner

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Steve Young likes what he sees. (AP)

Now all that's left is the commercials.

There's no need to watch the Super Bowl for the actual game, at least not with PredictionMachine.com having run 50,000 simulations of Sunday's Super Bowl matchup and determining that the San Francisco 49ers will beat the Baltimore Ravens by a likely score of 28 to 21. The simulations gave the edge to the 49ers' run and pass offense over the Ravens' defense and perhaps most importantly, an edge to the 49ers' run defense in stopping the Ravens' rushing attack.

From the 50,000 simulations, PredictionMachine.com had the 49ers winning 66.9 percent of the time. But while a touchdown spread and a relatively narrow game is the most likely winning margin for the 49ers, there is a 38.6 percent chance that San Francisco wins by more than 10 points. In other words, the simulation likes the 49ers an awful lot.

What else does the computer foresee happening?

[Related: Report: Niners CB says openly gay players not welcome]

Other predictions include the 49ers rushing for 167 yards in the game with running back Frank Gore topping 89 yards on 19 carries and quarterback Colin Kaepernick running six times for 38 yards. The Ravens will be limited to 98 yards of rushing offense with the prediction model clearly favoring a 49ers defense that was No.4 in the league during the regular season against the run.

The model also has Kaepernick winning the game’s MVP award, giving him a 37.3 percent chance to win.

Of course, the game could come down to coaching decisions, especially late in the game. According to the simulations, PredictionMachine.com doesn’t give an edge to either head coach, rating the brothers -- 49ers head coach Jim Harbaugh and Ravens head coach John Harbaugh -- as “a wash” in their individual matchup in calling the game.

[Related: Randy Moss won't apologize for best-of-all-time boast]

Just how good is the website at making these predictions? Last year’s model predicted the New York Giants to beat the New England Patriots 52.5 percent of all simulations and the year before that called the Green Bay Packers over the Pittsburgh Steelers by an even larger margin.

No word yet on the commercial front from PredictionMachine.com but we don’t need any simulations to know that if Kate Upton is in it, we’re liking it.

Follow Yahoo!Sports Kristian R. Dyer on Twitter @KristianRDyer

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