Week 7 Player Props

Minty Bets and Matt Harmon offer up their favorite player props for Week 7.

Video Transcript

[MUSIC PLAYING]

MATT HARMON: Yeah, that's right. We've got some exciting player props today, some big name players. Minty, I always enjoy getting into the sports book with you and talking these player props. It's one of my most enjoyed segments of this entire show. So why don't you kick us off with your first one this week.

MINTY BETS: Yes. My first one is going to be, arguably, everyone's favorite running back, Derrick Henry. His rushing and receiving yards is set at 142.5. First of all, Derrick Henry has exceeded this number in just rushing yards alone in 3 of his last 5 games. Averaging about 23 receiving yards per game.

And this man cannot be stopped. Kansas City is not going to stop him. Their defense has issues of their own. So I'm going over. And remember this is rushing and receiving. So I think this is a steal.

[MUSIC PLAYING]

MATT HARMON: I love it. Yeah, getting the combined yards is nice. Getting the match-up against the Chiefs linebackers, who might be like the worst unit in the entire NFL right now. I think it's pretty juicy as well. I am also going to go with a big hulking running back. And it's Leonard Fournette.

You know, it's funny because this backfield, I was like, you know, do not touch this backfield going in the drafts because I didn't expect him to do what they did, which is narrow down the focus here to basically just Fournette. And at this point, you know, since they gave of him an 82% snap share in that Patriots game, it is basically just been the Fournette show.

And the best part is, he's responding to it. He's playing extremely well. Since then, he ranks 7th in yards after contact. He's forced 10 missed tackles. He ranks 3rd among running backs in catches and yards. So give me the easy over on his 15.5 carries here against a Bears team where the Bucs should be controlling the script the entire afternoon.

Also worth noting, there are some injuries, some absences up front for Chicago's defense. So, yeah, I mean, 15.5 carries. They've clearly just not adjusted to the fact that Fournette is the workhorse back here in Tampa Bay.

MINTY BETS: Yeah. His production has been on the higher end in his last several games. My next prop is going to be on Davis Mills. His passing yards is set at 228.5. And look, Arizona is allowing the 8th fewest passing yards per game. Davis Mills, although, exceeded this amount in only his last two games.

I don't really have much faith in him against Arizona. He's got great depth in his running backs. And Arizona has-- it struggles kind of against the run. So I think that's where they're going to succeed is their run game. So I think this is going to be an easy under. 228.5 passing yards?

[MUSIC PLAYING]

MATT HARMON: Yeah. I mean, give me a break with the whole Davis Mills thing. It's definitely starting to come apart there. You know, it's kind of hit or miss every week. But I'm with you going the under on this one this week. I'm going to take the coward's way out for my next pick. Again, I'm going to go with a carries number here for Darrell Henderson.

But I love that you getting the over on 17.5 carries at plus odds here. Because, again, much like with Fournette, maybe even more drastically so, the Rams have focused just on one back, which I did not see coming necessarily. But it has happened. Darrell Henderson is the guy there. He's played over 80% of the snaps in 3 games so far this year. 3 of 5 played.

Obviously, the one, he was kind of banged up in. And then, missed week 3. So I mean, he has basically been the every down back for the L.A. Rams. We know that the Rams are going to be controlling this game against the Detroit Lions. Like I mentioned, up at the top of the Matthew Stafford over/under, Henderson has been great this year. He's been a key part of this offense.

So, yeah, of course, all the attention, Minty, is on Matthew Stafford. But I definitely think that Darrell Henderson, in the game, that they should control here, the L.A. Rams, against they bad defense, both run and pass. I see Henderson getting a lot of work in this match up.

MINTY BETS: Yeah, absolutely. He's been on the upper double digits in all of his games. And, yeah, against the Lions, I mean, you're right. L.A is going to control that game, control the tempo, and run the ball a lot. So I love that prop there.