The Prop Queen, Ariel Epstein, gives her best plays for the MLB slate on Tuesday, May 3rd.
APRIEL EPSTEIN: What's going on Yahoo Sportsbook? I'm the Prop Queen, Ariel Epstein. I've got two Major League Baseball strikeout props for tonight.
Let's start with the Cincinnati Reds up against the Milwaukee Brewers. I'm taking the over, 5 and 1/2 strikeouts on Cincinnati Reds' starting pitcher Tyler Mahle. The Milwaukee Brewers had the fifth highest K rate in baseball, third highest against right-handers.
Righties are actually 8 in 5 over/under this season on their K prop, when up against the Brewers. Even though Mahle hasn't really gone over this number much. He only went over at one time this year. That's because he's faced teams that are bottom 10 in K rate. The Padres, the Cardinals, the Dodgers, and the Guardians, they're all teams that aren't really strikeout prone.
The one game where Mahle did go over this number, he had seven strikeouts against the Atlanta Braves. Atlanta has the highest K rate in baseball right now. I'm going with the over, 5 and 1/2 strikeouts in a good matchup for Mahle up against the Brewers tonight.
For my last K prop, I'm betting the over, 3 and 1/2 strikeouts on Oakland Athletics' right-hander Paul Blackburn. It's a great matchup. You've got the Tampa Bay Rays. The Rays, the last couple of seasons, have been a top 10 K-rate team, especially when up against right-handers. Righties are averaging just over five strikeouts per start when up against Tampa. They're 8 and 5 over/under, and 14 of 18 starting righties have gone over 3 and 1/2 strikeouts against the Rays this year.
Blackburn on the other hand, he has gone over this number in three out of four starts. The one start where he didn't have over 3 and 1/2 strikeouts, he was up against the Toronto Blue Jays, one of the least strikeout prone teams in baseball. I'm going with the over, 3 and 1/2 strikeouts on Paul Blackburn.
Here's your Prop Queen recap. I'm betting the over, 5 and 1/2 strikeouts on Cincinnati Reds' right-hander Tyler Mahle. I'm betting the over, 3 and 1/2 strikeouts on the Oakland Athletics' right-hander Paul Blackburn.
That's it for me, the Prop Queen, Ariel Epstein here in this Tuesday around Major League Baseball. Good luck tonight and we'll see you tomorrow.
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