Week 2 Fantasy Over/Under: T.J. Yeldon to answer DFS prayers

Fantasy is a speculative game. Predict the future, and you look like a genius. Don’t, and you’re painfully human. Gazing into the crystal ball, here’s our view on six intriguing over/unders for Week 2.

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Donning the DFS cap, what commodity is terribly UNDERVALUED in Week 2?

Liz – ISAIAH CROWELL ($14). I’m not convinced that the Crow will continue to fly come the winter, but for now he’s the goal line back in Hue Jackson’s run-friendly offense. He was also the Brown’s lone score in Week 1. Even with Josh McCown under center, he’ll continue to get fed. I like his chances of scoring again in Week 2 at home against the Ravens. Clip the coupon. Not the wings.

Andy – JEREMY LANGFORD ($18). I’m not much of a fan of Langford for the long haul, but this price is silly considering the matchup. Philadelphia allowed 120 rushing yards and 5.7 YPC to Cleveland last week, and the team ranked dead-last at defending the run last season (134.6 YPG, 4.5 YPC). Langford is unrivaled as the Bears’ featured back, coming off a 19-touch week. I can hardly believe he’s $2 cheaper than this dude…

Brad – T.J. YELDON ($20). When Yeldon splashes the poker pot, 95 percent of the time he’s bluffing, but this week, in a rare instance, he truly has an ace up his sleeve. Chris Ivory is a long shot to play after getting discharged from the hospital Tuesday with a reportedly ‘painful’ unknown ailment. Though he accomplished little with an incredible volume last week (25 touches, 69 yards, TD), Yeldon is a fantastic low-dollar workhorse blessed with a delectable matchup (at SD). He could drive his way to 80 combined yards and a score riding a Rascal.

Conversely, what DFS option is the most OVERVALUED in Week 2?

Andy – While I think TODD GURLEY is certainly talented enough to make some noise against Seattle — remember, he ran for 83 yards and a TD against the Seahawks last December — there’s no way I’m willing to spend $30 for his services in this matchup. C.J. Anderson is available at the same price, and he too is the centerpiece of his team’s offense, plus he’s facing Indy’s squeezably soft run D.

Brad – DEREK CARR ($34). There are a number of strong candidates for this answer (e.g. Devonta Freeman, Dez Bryant, Todd Gurley, etc.), but Oakland’s GTO has no business being the fourth-highest priced passer this week. Desmond Trufant is a lock down corner who surrendered just three catches on eight targets last week. Meanwhile, Robert Alford is much better than what he displayed against Tampa. Carr should finish in the 17-19 point range, but at 34 large, there are numerous better buys available (e.g. Jimmy Garoppolo at $28).

Dalton – DREW BREES ($37). Of course it’s possible this turns into a huge shootout, but the Giants’ defense looks much improved this season, and Ben McAdoo seems intent on focusing on running the ball on offense. Brees is the most expensive player on the board this week, and he got just 7.0 YPA on the road last season.

DUMPSTER DIVING. With shovel in hand, what player under 25-percent started should fantasy owners insert into their lineups?

Brad – DENNIS PITTA. The tight end returned from a metaphorical sabbatical last week totaling 56 snaps while enticing four targets. If he receives similar action this week against an ultra-exploitable Cleveland D, he just might exceed 50 yards and find the end zone. Stream him if your fantasy team already ERTZ!

Dalton – CARSON WENTZ. He impressed during his debut in Week 1 and gets a shaky Bears secondary Monday night. Wentz is cheap in DFS and a sneaky option for those in super flex leagues, and especially with Zach Ertz sidelined, his teammate Nelson Agholor is another scarcely started fantasy commodity who’s getting overlooked right now.

Brandon – JOE FLACCO. Dalton’s got it wrong. You don’t chase Wentz’s solid debut, you chase the defense that allowed him to look like a grizzled veteran, the Cleveland Browns. This week Flacco gets to take his shot at the Pound Puppies. I like his chances of pushing 300 passing yards with at least a couple aerial scores.

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Devonta Freeman, immersed in a full-blown ‘hot hand’ RBBC with Tevin Coleman, total touches this week at Oakland 13.5?

Dalton – OVER. This line seems about right, so I’ll say over but just barely. There are obvious concerns for Freeman owners now that he’s locked in a timeshare, but the over/under in this game is 49.5 points, so there should be plenty of possessions/snaps to go around, resulting in 15 or so touches from last year’s No. 1 fantasy back.

Brandon – OVER. I think the reports of Freeman’s demise are greatly exaggerated. Yes, it’s fair to say he’s in a platoon. But he’s not suddenly buried so much in a timeshare that he’s to the point that I don’t think he’s got at least a nine-carry, five-catch workload ahead of him, and that would be all he’d need to top this mark. I don’t like the set-up for the Atlanta backfield this week at Oakland. I don’t think either Freeman or Coleman are a great play. But I do see 14-plus touches for Freeman.

Scott – OVER. It’s a good number. But if I could have either of these backs, I’d want Coleman; I feel better about his upside, and expect him to eventually run away from Freeman. Remember, Coleman opened last year as the starter.

Dez Bryant, who recorded a disastrous one reception for eight yards last week against a presumably vulnerable Giants secondary, catches in take two versus Josh Norman and Washington 4.5.

Brandon – UNDER. One catch in Week 1 with a rookie QB under center doesn’t really do much to inspire confidence for a four-catch bump the following week while likely drawing plenty of attention from arguably the league’s top cover corner. I think Bryant ends up with 3-4 grabs … baby steps.

Scott – OVER. Dallas lost opening week, which is important — it gives the Pokes incentive to change the status quo. And Bryant, like most alpha-dog receivers, will command the ball. I also thought Prescott’s debut was passable, and better days are definitely ahead.

Liz – OVER. The egos at play here won’t allow anything less than an epic showdown. There’s no way that, in a division matchup, Dallas is going to rest its aerial attack on the Lilliputian-esque shoulders of Cole Beasley two weeks in a row. Dak and Dez hooked up on a back-shoulder play in the preseason so we know that the chemistry is there. I’m not hitting the panic button on No. 88 just yet.

Todd Gurley, a fantasy ship trapped in a bottle last week in San Francisco, total yards this time around against visiting Seattle 79.5.

Scott – OVER, because I think he’ll wind up with an insane amount of touches and creep past that number. But I’m glad I was focused on wide receivers in Round 1, and this isn’t my problem.

Liz – UNDER. I sure hope Jeff Fisher doesn’t break one of the best backs in football. Gurley – and the entire Rams squad – was shut out by the 49ers on Monday night. To review, the Niners gave up the second most fantasy points to opposing RBs last year. And Gurley’s matchup vs Seattle this Sunday isn’t going to get any easier. Either Case Keenum takes a quantum leap forward, or LA gets more creative with the play calling. Otherwise, Gurley will continue to bang his head against eight men in the box.

Andy – OVER, slightly. He delivered 90 scrimmage yards (83 on the ground) in his last matchup with Seattle, and the Rams are going to feed him this week. I would find the eight-in-the-box argument much more convincing if he didn’t face exactly the same situation last season, when he averaged 4.8 YPC and 85.1 YPG.

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