NHL Draft 2018: Tracking each team's lottery odds in race for Rasmus Dahlin

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All in for Rasmus Dahlin? Sporting News keeps track of each team's chances to win the No. 1 pick in the 2018 NHL Draft and the right to select the generational Swedish defenseman.

NHL Draft lottery odds: Each team's chances to pick Rasmus Dahlin in 2018

All in for Rasmus Dahlin? Sporting News keeps track of each team's chances to win the No. 1 pick in the 2018 NHL Draft and the right to select the generational Swedish defenseman.

As the NHL playoff picture comes into focus, a growing number of fan bases are left counting their ping-pong balls.

The race for Rasmus Dahlin, the presumptive No. 1 pick in June's entry draft, is in full swing at the bottom of the standings, with teams like the Coyotes, Sabres and Senators hoping for the opportunity to select the generational Swedish defenseman as a salve for their pitiful seasons.

The "All in for Dahlin" movement hasn't gained as many supporters as its tanking predecessors, though. And recent history suggests most anyone with a lottery pick — from the Canucks and Canadiens to the Red Wings or (gasp) Blackhawks — could swoop in and disrupt the order.

MORE: Rasmus Dahlin changes conversation on D-men drafted No. 1

Remember: The NHL's cruel, anti-tank odds allocation means nothing is guaranteed, rendering the great tankathons of 2014 and 2015 a dying art. The biggest "loser," aka whichever team finishes dead last, has only an 18 percent at picking first overall — or an 82 percent chance of losing the lottery — and a 50/50 shot at falling out of the top three all together. That club can drop no lower than No. 4, but the talent disparity between Dahlin and the field is sizable.

In 2017, the Devils (8.517 percent), Flyers (2.204 percent) and Stars (5.812 percent) stunningly bumped the Avalanche, Canucks, Golden Knights and Coyotes (tied) from the top three, winning the rights to Nico Hischier and Nolan Patrick. In 2016, the Jets nabbed Patrik Laine with the No. 2 pick despite holding the fifth-best odds.

Note that figures below are based on a rough estimate from Tankathon.com's lottery simulator, which factors in previous drawings, as well as recent reports from NHL insiders suggesting the NHL and NHLPA agreed to a slight increase in lottery percentages.

The NHL doesn't release official lottery odds until after the regular season.

Last update: March 28

MORE: NHL playoff odds, predictions

Odds to win the 2018 NHL Draft lottery

Carolina Hurricanes 79 points 3.3% 10.7%

Points vs. No. 1 overall % vs. top three %

Buffalo Sabres

60 points

18.5%

48.1%

Arizona Coyotes

63 points

13.5%

36.2%

Ottawa Senators

63 points

11.5%

31.2%

Vancouver Canucks

63 points

9.5%

28.6%

Detroit Red Wings

67 points

8.5%

25.9%

Montreal Canadiens

68 points

7.6%

23.4%

Chicago Blackhawks

72 points

6.7%

20.9%

New York Islanders

74 points

5.8%

18.3%

Edmonton Oilers

74 points

5.4%

17.1%

New York Rangers

74 points

4.5%

14.4%

Carolina Hurricanes

79 points

3.3%

10.7%

New York Islanders (via Flames)

80 points

2.7%

8.8%

Dallas Stars

86 points

2.2%

7.2%

Florida Panthers

85 points

1.8%

5.9%

Los Angeles Kings

91 points

1.0%

3.3%

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