During the midweek MLS fixture list, we successfully backed New York Red Bulls to beat Inter Miami at DRV PNK Stadium. After the 1-0 defeat, Phil Neville was fired as head coach.
Value bet: DC United to win
Safe bet: DC United draw no bet
Inter Miami vs DC United verdict
For the second matchday in a row, the numbers tell us the best value bet is to oppose Inter Miami again. They're marginal favourites, but we make DC worthy of being even money favourites.
Wayne Rooney slaughtered DC's efforts in the wake of the Toronto defeat and got an immediate response. However, they let a 2-0 lead slip on Wednesday, drawing 2-2 with Montreal.
There has to be a response to that and United sorely need a 90-minute performance. Inter Miami are a good opportunity given Neville has been fired and they look like a baron shambles.
Their key players are also producing a combined 5.8 key passes per game. They're a threat going forward, so it really is just the defence that needs fixing. They may find life easier against Inter.
DC have only lost two of their last nine matches and in terms of xG, they're living up to their performance. They should have a positive goal difference on their travels, but they're -2 because of goals conceded.
Rooney's men will be hungry for that clean sheet and four of their six season wins have come without conceding. Inter have lost half of their games this season without scoring.
Our numbers conclude there's a near 50% chance Miami fail to score in this match, with a 77% chance that DC find the net at least once.
The most probable scorelines are 1-0 to DC, 1-1 or 2-0 to DC. The value bet is to back to visitors to win but if you wish to play it safe, then draw no bet is a sensible option.
The article MLS betting tips: Wayne Rooney's DC United can pile more misery on Inter Miami appeared first on Planetsport.com.