Yahoo Sports Euro 2020 betting: Picks for Wednesday's last round of Group E and F games
The final round of group stage games at Euro 2020 continues Wednesday as Groups E and F conclude. We've got the betting advice you need for these four games as we're now up slightly through 60 picks over 30 games.
With 16 teams advancing in the 24-team tournament, the top four third-place teams from the six groups will advance to the knockout stage. We'll know who those four third-place teams are at the end of Wednesday and we already know that Turkey, Russia, and North Macedonia aren't advancing.
All odds are provided by BetMGM.
Group E standings
Sweden, 4 points
Slovakia, 3 points
Spain, 2 points
Poland, 1 point
Sweden vs. Poland
Noon ET, ESPN2
Sweden (+185)
Poland (+145)
Tie (+240)
Sweden is in decent shape to move on after tying Spain and beating Slovakia while Poland has to get a win if it wants to make the knockout rounds. That urgency is why Poland is favored here despite being last in the group. Sweden has played some very defensive soccer so far and it’s worked out for them. How will Poland unlock them? Poland’s midfield and supporting cast behind Robert Lewandowski makes us hesitant to go with them.
Over/under: 2.5 goals
Official picks
Tie (+240)
Under 2.5 goals (-150)
Bold bet
Game to finish 1-1 (+575)
Slovakia vs. Spain
Noon ET, ESPN
Slovakia (+1600)
Spain (-500)
Tie (+550)
Over/under: 2.5 goals
Spain is going to dominate possession and have a lot of decent scoring chances. Can It take advantage of them this time? Spain hasn’t capitalized so far with just one goal in two games. If Alvaro Morata starts and scores on Wednesday he could open the goal floodgates. Slovakia will be looking to hold on for at least a tie as four points probably gets them through. But if Spain scores an early goal, Slovakia is going to have to chase the game.
Official picks
Spain (-500)
Under 2.5 goals (+160)
Bold bet
Spain to win 2-0 (+500)
Group F standings
France, 4 points
Germany, 3 points
Portugal, 3 points
Hungary, 1 point
Germany vs. Hungary
3 p.m. ET, ESPN2
Germany (-550)
Hungary (+1350)
Tie (+650)
Over/under: 3.5 goals
Hungary got a needed draw against France on Saturday and can move on to the knockout rounds with a win over Germany. The Germans bounced back from a loss to France at the start of the tournament with a shellacking of Portugal — a team that beat Hungary 3-0. Hungary is going to be competitive in this game — the Portugal game was competitive until the final 10 minutes — but Germany should get the result it needs to move on in the tournament even without Thomas Muller.
Official picks
Germany (-550)
Under 3.5 goals (-135)
Bold bet
Kai Havertz to score the first goal (+500)
Portugal vs. France
3 p.m. ET, ESPN
Portugal (+280)
France (+125)
Tie (+190)
Over/under: 2.5 goals
What a fantastic way to end the group stage. France would like a point or three to not rely on making the knockout rounds via a third-place finish, while Portugal has to get at least a tie to guarantee another game in the tournament. Germany’s wingbacks ripped Portugal apart in the second game and France doesn’t have that attacking threat from the back. But the speed of Kylian Mbappe could pierce the edges of the Portugal defense on the counterattack.
Official picks
Tie (+190)
Under 2.5 goals (-160)
Bold bet
Game to finish 1-1 (+525)
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