Bowl Projections: Why Ohio State's chances at the playoff are slim to none

Dr. Saturday

Sorry, Ohio State. Your chances of making the College Football Playoff are still really slim with a win against Wisconsin.

The Buckeyes came in at No. 8 in Tuesday night’s rankings. That’s three spots below No. 5 Alabama and five spots below No. 3 Oklahoma. That’s important if there’s chaos on championship Saturday.

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Right now, the four teams in the playoff are Clemson, Auburn, Oklahoma and Wisconsin. This last set of bowl projections pencils them all in the playoff. If Ohio State beats Wisconsin and Oklahoma wins, will it jump over a one-loss Alabama team? We don’t think so. If the committee thought Ohio State and Alabama were of similar quality, it wouldn’t be three spots apart in the rankings.

What about if Oklahoma loses? Well, the Sooners pose a problem there too. Oklahoma beat Ohio State in Week 2. If the two teams end with the same record, shouldn’t the head-to-head win by Oklahoma on the road outweigh the conference championship Ohio State has and keep the Sooners ahead of the Buckeyes? We certainly think so.

Here are our final bowl projections of the season. With more teams eligible for bowls than there are spots, there are going to be some teams left out when the bowls are chosen Sunday. That doesn’t bode well for the MAC, which has seven bowl eligible teams and only five bowl tie-ins available.

New Orleans Bowl, Dec. 16
Southern Miss vs. Troy

Cure Bowl, Dec. 16
Georgia State vs. Marshall

Las Vegas Bowl, Dec. 16
Boise State vs. Arizona State

New Mexico Bowl, Dec. 16
Texas-San Antonio vs. Fresno State

Camellia Bowl, Dec. 16
Akron vs. Appalachian State

Boca Raton Bowl, Dec. 19
Temple vs. Florida International

Frisco Bowl, Dec. 20
SMU vs. North Texas

St. Petersburg Bowl, Dec. 21
South Florida vs. Florida Atlantic

Bahamas Bowl, Dec. 22
Ohio vs. UAB

Potato Bowl, Dec. 22
Northern Illinois vs. Wyoming

Birmingham Bowl, Dec. 23
Houston vs. Central Michigan

Armed Forces Bowl, Dec. 23
Army vs. Middle Tennessee State

Dollar General Bowl, Dec. 23
Toledo vs. Arkansas State

Hawaii Bowl, Dec. 24
Memphis vs. San Diego State

Quick Lane Bowl, Dec. 26
Duke vs. Purdue

Heart of Dallas Bowl, Dec. 26
Texas Tech vs. Western Kentucky

Cactus Bowl, Dec. 26
West Virginia vs. Utah

Independence Bowl, Dec. 27
Florida State vs. Louisiana Tech

Pinstripe Bowl, Dec. 27
Boston College vs. Iowa

Foster Farms Bowl, Dec. 27
Oregon vs. Northwestern

Texas Bowl, Dec. 27
Texas vs. UCLA

Holiday Bowl, Dec. 28
Stanford vs. Michigan State

Military Bowl, Dec. 28
Navy vs. Virginia

Camping World Bowl, Dec. 28
Virginia Tech vs. Iowa State

Alamo Bowl, Dec. 28
Oklahoma State vs. Washington State

Belk Bowl, Dec. 29
Wake Forest vs. Kentucky

Sun Bowl, Dec. 29
N.C. State vs. Arizona

Music City Bowl, Dec. 29
Louisville vs. Texas A&M

Cotton Bowl, Dec. 29
TCU vs. Washington

Arizona Bowl, Dec. 30
Colorado State vs. New Mexico State

TaxSlayer Bowl, Dec. 30
South Carolina vs. Michigan

Liberty Bowl, Dec. 30
Kansas State vs. Missouri

Fiesta Bowl, Dec. 30
USC vs. Georgia

Orange Bowl, Dec. 30
Miami vs. Penn State

Outback Bowl, Jan. 1
Mississippi State vs. Ohio State

Peach Bowl, Jan. 1
Central Florida vs. Alabama

Citrus Bowl, Jan. 1
Notre Dame vs. LSU

Rose Bowl, Jan. 1 [College Football Playoff Semifinal]
Auburn vs. Oklahoma

Sugar Bowl, Jan. 1 [College Football Playoff Semifinal]
Clemson vs. Wisconsin

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Nick Bromberg is the editor of Dr. Saturday and From the Marbles on Yahoo Sports. Have a tip? Email him at or follow him on Twitter!

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