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Tuesday features Game 2 of the Western Conference finals between the Los Angeles Clippers and the Phoenix Suns. Yahoo Sports’ Jared Quay has the advice that you need.
All odds via BetMGM.
Are the Clippers going to be staring at a 0-2 hole again?
The Clippers became the first team in NBA history to come back from an 0-2 deficit twice in the same postseason after beating the Utah Jazz in six games in the second round. If the Clippers lose on Tuesday night against the Suns, Los Angeles will need to come back for a third time if it wants to make the NBA Finals.
Neither team will have its most-recognizable player again on Tuesday. Chris Paul is out because of the NBA’s COVID-19 health and safety protocols for the Suns and Kawhi Leonard didn’t travel to Phoenix after suffering a knee injury against Utah.
Phoenix has been nearly unbeatable at home recently. The Suns are 18-2 straight up in their last 20 home games. The Suns lost at home to the Lakers in Game 2 of their first-round series and lost at home to the Spurs on April 17. Those are Phoenix’s only two home losses since the middle of March.
Perhaps you should bet a Phoenix win with an over? The total has gone over in six of the last nine Clippers games. Game 1 easily went over in Phoenix’s 120-114 win. Yahoo Sports’ Jared Quay likes Phoenix to win again, though he’s taking Los Angeles to cover. He's not alone. The line moved down to -4.5 by Tuesday morning.
“I do think they’ll win this game, I just think six points is too much,” Quay said.
Prop bet we like: DeAndre Ayton over 15.5 points (+100)
Game 5 between the Vegas Golden Knights and Montreal Canadiens is on tap Tuesday from the T-Mobile Arena in Nevada, with the semifinal series tied 2-2. Bet on Habs (+195) vs. Golden Knights (-250) and get your first bet risk-free up to $1,000. New users only. 21+. Terms apply.
Another day, another massive playoff favorite — as if this series isn't tied and hasn't hit us with two straight overtime games and three straight one-goal games.
Montreal was winning Game 4 up until the third period, and they still had a chance to win in overtime. The team has also suffered some tough puck luck (and some very questionable officiating, but that's neither here nor there) that has made their play look worse than what they've actually put on the ice. Yes, Vegas, on paper, is the better team and should be favored in this series. But this is the playoffs we're talking about. -250 is too much chalk for any team at this stage.
On the flip side, however, it's the playoffs, so things aren't as simple as taking that +195 juice and running with it. Lots of folks took the heavy juice with the Islanders in Game 5, only to watch the Lightning throttle them, 8-0 at home.
It's tough to pick a side at this stage of the game — especially in this tightly contested series between the Habs and the Golden Knights.
I'm sure there are plenty reasons why Vegas' forwards have had nary a whimper on the scoresheet lately, but a big reason has to be Chandler Stephenson's absence. He is a game-time decision as of this writing.
If Stephenson suits up, I like the OVER tonight. There's been some heavy chalk on the OVER play the last few games even though each has pushed or gone UNDER. Something's gotta give here, and I don't think this whole series will go without featuring a (relatively) high-scoring game.
Now, with all that said, if Stephenson sits out again, we think there's value in the puck line for the Canadiens. Nothing in what the Golden Knights have shown their past few games gives confidence to the idea they'd be able to put the Habs away by a multiple-goal margin in Game 5. To its credit, Montreal bounced back after their 4-1 Game 1 loss to win Game 2, 2-1, in Vegas, no less, and they kept the Knights at bay through two games in Canada. Giving the Habs a 1.5-goal cushion at just -140 seems like a gift, especially when you consider their away numbers. Overall, Montreal went 20-16 against the spread this season outside of the Bell Centre, and they've gone 4-1 ATS in their last 10 games.
Again, Stephenson is the X-factor here.
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