Fan’s take: Is Phillies pitcher Roy Halladay a future Hall of Famer?

Roy Halladay(notes) threw two perfect innings in the 2011 All-Star game. The fans expected nothing less from the National League's starter.

Halladay has a .669 career winning percentage.
Wikimedia Commons

Everyone knows that he is a great pitcher. But, will he have been great enough to make the Hall of Fame by the time he has thrown his last pitch?

How it all began

The Denver, Colo., native was a 1995 first-round pick of the Toronto Blue Jays.

Halladay appeared in two games for the team in 1998 and did not fully establish himself until 2002, when he went 19-7.

He followed up that season by going 22-7 in 2003, which allowed him to win his first Cy Young Award.

During his 12 years in Toronto, the 6-foot-6-inch right-hander went 148-76 and made the American League's All-Star team six times. He also threw over 2,000 innings, completed 49 games, had 15 shutouts and struck out almost 1,500 batters.

Philly style

Since being acquired by the Phillies in December 2009, Halladay has been even better.

Last season, he threw the perfect game, had that playoff no-hitter and won his second Cy Young Award.

From the start of the 2010 season through this years' All-Star break he is 32-13, which translates to a .711 winning percentage.

He has thrown a stunning 15 complete games and has four shutouts. His WHIP ratio (Walks + hits per innings pitched) has also been steadily dropping since he first put on Phillies red.

Projections

Numbers count.

So, let's project where he might be by the time the 2017 season is over. This assumes that he can pitch at least that long and stays relatively healthy.

Halladay's current contract runs through 2013 and has a vesting option for 2014. He will turn 40 in May 2017.

It is hard to project if he would still be a Phillie at that time. It's certainly possible that he could come to town as a member of the New York Yankees, Boston Red Sox, New York Mets, Atlanta Braves, St. Louis Cardinals, or whatever other organization had ability to obtain his money arm.

Assume that he gets another 10 wins this year and then averages 15 wins each year (which is two below his current seasonal career average) through 2017. That would give him 100 more wins, or 280 for his career.

Again, based on his career averages, by the end of the 2017 season, he should have thrown approximately 4,000 innings, completed over 100 games, have around 40 shutouts and have just over 3,000 strikeouts.

Those types of numbers would have earned him additional All-Star appearances and potential Cy Young Awards as well. Clearly, any future championship rings would add to the luster of his statistical shine.

May I speak to Mr. Halladay?

The intent of this exercise was not to state that Halladay is a great pitcher who might be a future Hall of Famer. All baseball fans know that.

The purpose was to produce numbers that back up what we believe will happen. Just like Doc does whenever he takes the mound.

Growing up in the Philadelphia region during the late 1970s and early 1980s naturally enabled everyone to become Phillies fans. My friends and I learned the game on little league fields, through trading cards and by playing APBA. Immediately after graduating from Penn State in 1990, I started my career in the Scranton/Wilkes-Barre Red Barons front office. At that time they were the Phillies Triple A farm team. Follow me on Twitter @ SeanyOB .

More from Sean O'Brien and the Yahoo Contributor Network:

All-Star Starting pitcher Roy Halladay's potential in Phillies history

How baseball's first paid player named the Phillies

Halladay, Hamels are Phillies' top All-Star pitchers

When Baseball Cards were King

What if Babe Ruth never stopped pitching?

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Updated Wednesday, Jul 13, 2011