Throwing Darts: Can Jacksonville's defense steal a game?

Meet the Week 13 Darts: Cleveland +2.5, Minnesota -2.5, Pittsburgh -4, Jacksonville +2.5, Atlanta 2.5. All lines drawn from Yahoo Pro Football Pick'Em.

-- The Jaguars defense has played well for two months, masked somewhat by the offense giving the ball away so often. Did you see all the duress Andrew Luck was under last week? Eli Manning is going to make some mistakes.

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-- Mike Zimmer's done some nifty things with his defense as well, and when's the last time Cam Newton looked healthy to you? So long as Teddy Bridgewater doesn't give the game away, Minnesota should win.

-- The Steelers are known for two splits: better performances at home, and better performances against better teams. Okay, that second point may or may not apply to the Saints, but I expect the Steelers to be on full alert after the bye.

-- Cleveland has an emerging back, a star receiver back in form, one solid cover ace in the secondary. I generally love the Bills in a home spot, especially giving less than the standard three, but at some point the routine-upsetting events of the last two weeks will catch up to them. Browns, outright.

-- Arizona will blitz, blitz, and blitz some more, but it will also give up some chunk plays when the blitzes don't get home. And at some point Drew Stanton is likely to throw away a game. I know the public loves the Cardinals side, but sometimes you have to go ugly, take the sides no one wants.

Last Week: 4-1
Season: 28-31-1