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Stock Watch: Dyson, Yelich rising, Gomez falling
STOCK UP
Jarrod Dyson: He’s back from his oblique injury and while he’ll be hitting at the bottom of Kansas City’s lineup, Dyson should be given a chance to be a regular for the first time in his career. He’s certainly not a great hitter, but he’s also no Billy Hamilton, and his strong defense should help keep him in the lineup. Dyson has averaged 31.5 steals over the past four seasons despite seeing just 241.3 at bats per year, so his stolen base potential is huge, making him a must-own in all fantasy leagues. He’s currently available in more than 75 percent of Yahoo leagues.
Drew Pomeranz: He has a 2.04 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP with a whopping 25 strikeouts over 17.2 innings during his first three starts of the year, as Pomeranz has really taken a liking to moving to the National League. One of those starts even came in Coors Field. He doesn’t have the best control, but Pomeranz posted a strong 11.0 SwStr% last season (it’s a ridiculous 17.4% so far this year), so he’s someone who’s looking more and more legit.
Christian Yelich: He’s hitting .400/.530/.600 on the year, so the breakout many expected is off to a good start. And while home runs remain elusive (he has just one on the season) as he’s still primarily a groundball hitter, the batting average is for real (his career BABIP is .368). Yelich is on pace to hit 76 doubles in 2016, and he even hit one Friday off Javier Lopez, who allowed a .112/.177/.135 line against left-handed batters last season. Yelich looks to be in store for a big campaign.
Mike Moustakas: After hitting 12 homers over the final two months last season, Moustakas has already hit six over the first 15 games in 2016. He remains locked in as the team’s No. 2 hitter and hits lefties as well as righties so doesn’t need to be platooned. It’s taken longer than expected, but the former No. 2 overall pick sure looks terrific right now. He’s especially valuable with third base being so thin.
Tyler White: He’s a 25-year-old rookie without much of a pedigree, and the strikeouts are a concern. But White posted a .362/.467/.559 line in Triple-A last season, and he’s swatted five homers with a 1.001 OPS over 57 at bats so far this year in Houston. A.J. Reed will definitely get a chance at some point, but if White keeps hitting, there’s little reason why he won’t just slide to DH (Evan Gattis is doing nothing to stand in his way).
STOCK DOWN
Carlos Gomez: After struggling badly after the All-Star break last season, the hope was a healthier Gomez would bounce back in 2016. Instead, he’s been even worse, posting a .211/.237/.281 line with a 15:2 K:BB ratio over 57 at bats. Gomez has now hit just four homers over 206 at bats since joining Houston, and the team has started tinkering with his swing while dropping him in the order. He’ll surely be better, but there’s definite cause for concern as this slump’s sample continues to grow.
Francisco Liriano: He’s walked 14 batters over 15.1 innings with a 1.83 WHIP so far this season. Liriano is still getting groundballs, but this is a pitcher with a 6.29 FIP, and it’s unclear if his hamstring injury that caused him to skip a start already is fully healed. His velocity is down, so there’s some worry here.
Shelby Miller: There were plenty of reasons to be down on Miller entering 2016, as last year’s 3.02 ERA seemed highly unsustainable since his 6.4 HR/FB% was the second lowest in all of baseball, and he was moving to one of the best hitter’s parks in MLB. Still, few could’ve predicted this much of a disaster, as he sports an 8.59 ERA and a 1.98 WHIP with 11 walks through 14.2 innings. Miller hasn’t lasted more than 2.0 innings in either of his past two starts, as he left the first one with a finger injury and the latter because he walked four straight batters to open the third inning. Miller’s 8.35 FIP is easily the worst in baseball.
Byron Buxton: Last year’s struggles have only gotten worse this season, as Buxton is batting .150 with an ugly 20:2 K:BB ratio. There’s a real chance the top prospect gets demoted if he doesn’t start showing any improvement fast.
Pedro Alvarez: He’s batting a hideous .118/.286/.147 after joining Baltimore this season. Alvarez is still searching for his first homer on the year despite going from one of the toughest hitter’s parks to one that’s boosted home runs for left-handed batters more than any other over the past three seasons (he also no longer has to worry about playing defense). At least he’s walking, and one has to think the homers should start coming in bunches, so he’s a possible buy-low candidate with his owners no doubt fed up at this point.
