NBA Stock Watch: Bradley Beal moving up, Andre Drummond down

STOCK UP

Bradley Beal: He’s back after missing the start of the season with a wrist injury, and despite coming off the bench, Beal has been a top-35 fantasy player (on a per-game basis). He’s unlikely to continue shooting better than 50.0 percent from the floor, but he’ll join Washington’s starting five soon and looks like a budding star. The third-year guard averaged 19.1 ppg, 4.0 rpg, 3.0 apg, 1.4 spg, 0.5 bpg and 1.5 3pt over the final month last season, giving a glimpse of the kind of upside Beal possesses.

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Tobias Harris: He was a disappointment during his first year in Orlando last season, but Harris has been anything but so far, as he’s been the No. 30 ranked fantasy player (and in the top-10 over the past two weeks). He’s averaging 18.8 ppg, 8.4 rpg, 1.2 spg, 0.7 bpg and 1.0 3pt while shooting 81.5 percent from the line. Harris missed Monday’s game with a calf injury, but the ailment isn’t supposed to be serious. Over his previous three games, he’s totaled 40 rebounds/assists/steals/blocks while committing one measly turnover. Still just 22 years old, Harris looks like an elite fantasy commodity for many seasons to come.

Mo Williams: With Ricky Rubio sidelined for multiple weeks with an ankle injury, Williams has become Minnesota’s starting point guard after rookie Zach Levine failed during his brief opportunity. Over the three games since joining the starting five, Williams has averaged 13.3 points, 9.7 assists and 1.7 3pt. He’s a must-own as long as Rubio remains out.

Darren Collison: When given the opportunity to start last season, Collison averaged 14.8 points, 5.3 assists, 1.5 steals and 1.4 3pt over 35 games, so it’s no shock he’s thrived as Sacramento’s No. 1 point guard this year. In fact, he’s getting career-highs in ppg (15.9), rpg (3.5), apg (7.0), spg (1.6) and bpg (0.4) thanks to the most playing time he’s ever seen (35:19 mpg). Collison has been a top-30 fantasy player, and there’s no glaring reason to sell high. His 27.3 shooting percentage from beyond the arc is actually a career low by a wide margin.

Corey Brewer: With Kevin Martin undergoing wrist surgery that will sideline him at least the next six weeks, Brewer has moved into Minnesota’s starting lineup. He hasn’t exactly lit up the league, but few players are a bigger asset when it comes to recording steals, and there are so few options on this Timberwolves team, he’s going to have a big role on offense. The same can be said about No. 1 pick Andrew Wiggins, who scored 29 points on a career high 22 field goal attempts (to go along with 10 free throws) in 41:11 minutes of action during the team’s last game. His fantasy value gets a nice boost with Martin out as well.

Here’s Brandon Knight missing a wide-open layup at the end of overtime.

Here’s Iman Shumpert with a sick reverse dunk over the Greek Freak.

Here’s Dallas scoring seven points in 5.9 seconds versus the Lakers.

This give-and-go alley-oop was pretty legit.

Here’s Nerlens Noel throwing one of the worst passes you’ll ever see.

STOCK DOWN

Andre Drummond: It’s almost certainly best to be patient with the 21-year-old who possesses a ton of potential, but to say Drummond hasn’t exactly lived up to expectations would be a massive understatement. His 43.6 FT% was fully expected (and actually a career high), but after shooting 62.3 percent from the field last season, he’s at 39.7. The 11.6 rpg remain helpful, but foul trouble has limited Drummond’s minutes, and it hasn’t exactly been a smooth transition to Stan Van Gundy’s new system. Drummond is somehow 3-for-28 on shots five feet from the basket or longer and is shooting just 46.5 percent from inside the restricted area. It’s probably safe to expect those stats to be better moving forward, but Drummond has been the No. 230 ranked fantasy player this season.

Lance Stephenson: His mpg are actually slightly down after signing a big contract in hopes of becoming “the guy” in Charlotte, but his Usage Rate is up, so there’s no real excuse other than performance. Stephenson has shot just 38.3 percent from the floor and 61.8 percent from the line while committing 2.6 tpg. His biggest fantasy contribution so far this year has been hurting Al Jefferson’s rebounding numbers. Stephenson was benched for the final 1.5 quarters of Monday’s game and hasn’t been a top-200 fantasy player so far this season.

DeMar DeRozan: He’s in an epic shooting slump, making just 32.6 percent of his shots from the field (15-of-46) over his past three games (he’s shooting 15.4 percent from downtown on the year). These stretches happen, and Toronto is 12-2 despite DeRozan’s poor shooting to start the year. Obviously don’t go dropping him (his 26.2 Usage Rate ranks No. 21 in the NBA), but few players have hurt fantasy teams more over the past two weeks.

Josh Smith: Here are his fantasy ranks over the past four years, respectively: 25, 16, 92 and 127. That’s not exactly trending in the right direction, especially when you consider he’s No. 242 this year when many expected a bounce back campaign. Despite attempting fewer than half as many shots from beyond the arc this year compared to last (1.6 vs. 3.4), his FG% is a career-worst 37.4. His FT% is also a career-low 45.8. The former fantasy star is borderline droppable.

J.R. Smith: He’s been a top-100 player in each of the past four seasons but hasn’t exactly meshed well with the new system in New York, as he’s been the No. 180 ranked player this season (and No. 223 over the past week, killing fantasy teams while shooting 35.7 percent from the field over that four-game span). Smith averaged 2.6 3pt on 6.5 attempts last year. He’s at 0.9 on 3.2 so far this season. The Knicks currently rank last in the NBA in PACE, which isn’t exactly encouraging.

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