As we head into Week 15 of the 2016 NFL season (and, most likely, the first round of your league’s playoffs), here are 12 players to give extra consideration to when filling out your lineups – six that are looking better than usual, and a half dozen that are looking worse:
QB – Philip Rivers, SD ($32) – As the 15th-most expensive QB this week, Rivers is a DFS bargain. He’s finished top 13 or better at the QB position in four of his past six games, has thrown for at least two touchdowns in six straight games and tallied a ’16 fantasy-best 357 yards and 4 TD passes against Oakland (this week’s opponent) in Week 5.
RB –Ty Montgomery, GB($14) – Weather conditions in Chicago are supposed to be frozen tundra-like, the kind of weather that’s not conducive to big numbers via a vertical passing attack. Luckily for Montgomery, he’s now a running back. And he’s an RB that head coach Mike McCarthy says could handle 20
On this high voltage program, Brad Evans and Brandon Funston go all Jim Cantore on bitterly cold conditions forecasted in many locales, including Chicago. How will the deep freeze impact such marquee commodities as Aaron Rodgers, Jordy Nelson, Alshon Jeffery and Jordan Howard?
Let’s preview this week’s NFL action by first focusing on the games that are expected to produce the most real and fantasy points before I go around the league to highlight the key players we should be watching and why. An important note every week: check the player’s status. There is so much injury uncertainty and Friday’s practice, which occurs after this is posted, is key.
Saints at Cardinals (O/U: 50.5): Drew Brees ($37) has crushed his owners the last two weeks and Carson Palmer ($34) has done the same all year, basically. I was so wrong about Palmer, who seems finished even though his pass protection has been terrible and Bruce Arians has done him a disservice by not max protecting more often, subjecting him to too much punishment. I’d be surprised if this game reached this total. But I’d definitely play Brees, even on the road here (but in friendly conditions), over Palmer.
With the fantasy playoffs on the horizon, this week’s OVER/UNDER piece takes on a slightly different personality. Including is a DFS snapshot for the upcoming week and BOLD predictions for what players boom/bust during the most important time of the fantasy football year.
Nerves are on high this week as fantasy Super Bowl berths are on the line. What largely cherished RB, WR or TE, started in 50 percent or more of Yahoo leagues, will leave owners penniless in Week 15?
Dalton – DOUG MARTIN. He’s been given a ton of touches and scored in his last two games since returning, but Martin’s YPC sits at an ugly 3.0 on the season, and the Bucs are touchdown underdogs Sunday against a Cowboys team that’s allowed the fourth-fewest fantasy points to running backs. It’s certainly tough to sit Martin given his usage, but with his inefficiency and this matchup, there’s a good chance he really disappoints his owners in Week 15.
Brandon – DELANIE WALKER. He offered only a couple cents to owners
By Kevin Kaduk | Roto Arcade – Wed, 14 Dec, 2016 9:37 PM EST
Need a friendly ear and some direct advice for your survival pool picks? Friend me on Facebook. Or hit me up on Twitter @kevinkaduk. Let’s ride the roller coaster together.
Resources:Yahoo survival pool pick distribution • SurvivorGrid.com Week 14’s biggest killer: Indianapolis Colts losing to Houston Texans (6.74 percent of entries) Week 14’s biggest winner: Detroit Lions over Chicago Bears (60.42 percent) Total Week 14 eliminations: 8.22 percent Perfect entries remaining on Yahoo: 9,861
It’s hard to imagine there’s ever been an easier Week 15 in the history of survival pools.
Four squads with a combined seven wins, all playing on the road? Two of the games featuring spreads of 14 points or more? The other two featuring the Browns and Jaguars?
It really doesn’t get much better than this.
Of course, we could all be walking into a trap. That feeling is always in the back of your mind in survival pools, especially when you get this far.
Tom Brady was terrific Monday, but now he faces the nasty Broncos defense. What’s the play? Do you trust A.J. Green off an injury layoff, or Alshon Jeffery off a suspension? Is there anything good in Denver’s backfield? Is Kenneth Farrow a must-start back, or someone tied to a sinking offense? How high is the sky for Bilal Powell, or Robby Anderson? Is there any value left at tight end?
Andy Behrens and Scott Pianowski are here for all of your Week 15 conundrums. Help us help you. Your semifinal success is our reward.
There are many factors you consider with your fantasy decisions, and your championship decisions, week by week. Talent. System. Role and opportunity. Recent form. Opponent, expected game flow. Sometimes opponent history applies, if it’s recent enough.
Just make sure you don’t overlook health. And make sure you don’t fall for one of the all-time classic fantasy sucker plays, injury optimism.
I’m suspecting the injury-optimism game lost some supporters this year. Waiting for Guffman had a better payoff. Jamaal Charles didn’t do a thing, a waste of a premium pick. Dion Lewis has been a flop thus far. Sammy Watkins is the No. 40 wideout since his return three games ago, and his September games sucked. Tony Romo wasn’t worth an IR stash.
By Yahoo Sports Staff | Roto Arcade – Wed, 14 Dec, 2016 12:41 PM EST
With Yahoo Daily Fantasy, your football season doesn’t have to end even though your playoff run may be over. Get your lineup set for Week 15 using our staff picks, who put together their lineups based off a $200 budget.
Each week the Noise highlights 10 over-started names whom he believes are destined to implode leave egg on his face. To qualify, each player must be started in at least 50 percent of Yahoo leagues. Speaking as an accountability advocate, I will post results, whether genius or moronic, the following week using the scoring system shown here. If you’re a member of TEAM HUEVOS, reveal your Week 15 Lames in the comments section below.
Tom Brady, NE, QB (81 percent started, $34 in Yahoo DFS) Matchup: at Den After the Broncos’ “No Fly Zone,” along with Von Miller, stuffs Mr. UGGS Sunday, the likely exhausted and battered quarterback will have to log extensive Beautyrest time. And we can only assume he’ll drift off wearing a turtleneck sweater. Denver is as advertised, a clamp-down defense that rarely gives up chunk plays. Through 13 games, Drew Brees and Philip Rivers are the only passers to
Myles Turner: He’s lived up to expectations, as Turner has been a top-25 player this season (just behind LeBron James) while seeing the fewest mpg (28:53) among anyone in that group. Over the last week, he’s averaged 18.5 ppg, 6.3 rpg, 2.5 bpg and 2.0 3pt, as he’s producing a rare combination of swats with triples as well as being a center who makes free throws. Turner is still just 20 years old and is a star in the making.
Lou Williams: He’s been a borderline top-50 player so far this season and recently completed a stretch in which he scored the most points off the bench during a four game period since 1970. His Usage Rate will take a hit with D’Angelo Russell back and getting healthier, but Williams is clearly a valuable fantasy commodity even while coming off the bench, and it helps the Lakers rank No. 4 in Pace.
Every week the Noise highlights 13 under-started names who he believes are destined to torch the competition. To qualify, each player must be started in fewer than 60 percent of Yahoo! leagues. Speaking as an accountability advocate, I will post results, whether genius or moronic, the following week using the scoring system shown here (Thresholds – QB: 18 fpts, RB: 13 fpts, WR: 11 fpts: TE: 10 fpts; .5 PPR). If you’re a member of TEAM HUEVOS, reveal your Week 15 Flames in the comments section below.
Philip Rivers, SD, QB (53 percent started, $32 in Yahoo DFS) Matchup: vs. Oak Predominantly this season, the fantasy waters tied to Rivers are polluted. Wade in the sludge and nausea normally follows. The five-time Pro Bowler has chipped in the occasional top-12 performance, but persistent turnovers and general misfires have dragged his otherwise effective numbers down, which explains why he ranks QB16 in per game average. Over
On this tearful edition of the program, Brad Evans and Dalton Del Don offer their perspectives on changing backfields in San Diego and New York in light of setbacks suffered from Melvin Gordon and Matt Forte. They also touch on ripple effects stemming from Matt Moore’s insertion into the starting lineup with Ryan Tannehill sidelined.
A Monday ritual, the ‘Noise’ and 3D ran through a list of potential waiver options that could shock the opponents in Round 2, including Robby Anderson, Jermaine Gresham and Trevor Siemian.