In our first Pitching by the Numbers of '14, let’s look at the newest hot commodity, Masahiro Tanaka of the New York Yankees.
Here’s what Tanaka did in Japan compared to some recent imports of note:
These stats are all pre-MLB (some pitchers went back after pitching in the majors). I’ve sorted by the most important stat, SO/BB. There’s also a good argument for strikeouts minus walks (next week’s column). But I try not to use stats that are not commonly tracked when there is a comparable one that is almost as good and easily available. The objective here generally is to provide you with projecting models that you can easily use yourself.
Now let’s use Rotochamp.com to pull some Tanaka projections for 2014.
My major quarrel here is mainly with the strikeouts. I think they’ll be considerably higher.
Notice the Japan K rates of recent pitchers with decent MLB samples – Darvish, Iwakuma and Kuroda. They have actually beaten their combined K/9 in Japan (7.4) while in MLB (7.8). Add inRead More »from Pitching by the Numbers: Projecting Masahiro Tanaka