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When the headline is "Saving the Jackets" in the Columbus Dispatch, panic sets in for Columbus Blue Jackets fans. When the team president tells that newspaper that "time is of the essence" and that "the current ownership group is not in a position to continue to deal with the arena's structural (financial) problem," there's a natural inclination to place the Jackets on the same rack as the Phoenix Coyotes as endangered franchises.

This isn't meant to downplay the importance of these times for the franchise, but when the dire predictions are coming from an owner with an unfriendly arena lease and the president of the Columbus Chamber, the region's economic growth and development organization that supports the arena, they carry the whiff of hyperbole for the sake of public pressure.

Rather than predict apocalypse, what the Chamber's report did was evaluate the Blue Jackets' economic viability, and that of the arena district, via a study by Ohio State University Fisher College of Business Professor Stephen A. Buser. From the Chamber:

The report offers nearly 20 options in three categories: continuation of the existing ownership structure; implementation of public-private partnerships; and alternative private ownership structures. "I've looked at NHL franchises across the nation, and it is clear that there are forms of public-private partnerships that have been successfully employed in other cities might be equally beneficial if employed in the case of the Columbus Blue Jackets and the operations of Nationwide Arena," said Buser.

The report also details the economic growth that has occurred since the Columbus Blue Jackets came to Columbus and the Arena District was developed. According to the report the Arena has spurred economic growth in and around the district and more than $630 million had been invested in district as of 2006. At least 170 businesses employed more than 5,500 workers with annual wages of more than $350 million. Over a 10-year-period (1998 to 2008), property values increased by 267 percent.

So yeah, there are some very good reasons for local businesses and politicians to keep the Blue Jackets in Columbus. But how can the city keep them, and keep them viable?

For that answer, we turn to Columbus lawyer Jeff Little on The Hockey Writers, who penned what is by far the most interesting and insightful review of this Blue Jackets dilemma we've read. First, on the report:

Being a small-market town, and having competition from the nearby Schottenstein Center at Ohio State, operations for non-hockey events lose approximately $4 - $5 million per year, and a similar amount is paid for utilization of the arena.  Add in another $2 million per year that would otherwise be coming in for naming rights, and the Blue Jackets are at a $12 million annual disadvantage over other teams.  Buser observes that hockey operations themselves are approximately break-even, when NHL revenue sharing is considered.

Here's Little on the future:

It seems likely that the ultimate solution will involve a combination of approaches.  Buser noted the success of Nashville's model, where the government owns the Arena, and the Predators retain some of the key revenue items.  And something similar could be orchestrated here.  Combined with an increase in hotel taxes and a potential "special district" designation, there are a number of vehicles available to the participants.  As intended, the Buser Report lays out those options in admirable detail.  Whatever solution is chosen, it can be reasonably anticipated that every effort will be made to avoid a public tax impact requiring voter approval.  The grumpy Columbus constituency reacts poorly to funding requests, even for schools, and to count on an exception here could be risky. Ironically, just this week Ohio voters approved the construction of casinos in Cleveland, Cincinnati, Toledo and Columbus.  Notwithstanding the fact that the tax revenue derived could be a boon to local government, Columbus was the only one of the four targeted communities where a majority voted against the initiative.  The casinos will be built, but the message should be noted.

Reactionary responses notwithstanding, today' report does not represent a setback, nor is it the culmination of an effort. Instead, as intended, it forms the foundation for the serious building of a consensus solution that will make sense for all concerned. 

It's important to remember this is part of a much longer process whose politics are getting amplified during hockey season. Please recall back in May when the team backed a controversial "sin tax" to help facilitate the sale of the building, one that failed to garner local support. This study was born out of that effort.

(Interesting, by the way, that the only player the Jackets spoke with about this issue is Rick Nash(notes). Talk about a franchise player, huh?)

Again, this isn't to diminish the severity of the issues. The Blue Jackets are losing money and asking for economic assistance in an economy whose national unemployment rate just crossed the 10-percent threshold today. States are hurting, counties are hurting, businesses are hurting and fans are hurting. Current revenue streams from taxes are, right now, off the table. The road to solving these issues is much clearer than, say, in Phoenix, it's not a slam dunk.

One major, major difference between the two situations: Columbus is a franchise that's in its second year of upswing and serious playoff contention.

Mirtle took some time away from his bang-up work on the Leafs beat for the Globe & Mail (congrats privately and now publicly on that, sir) to return to the "shaky U.S. franchise" beat on From The Rink, painting with the usual broad brush. We never said winning solves everything for a struggling franchise; we've consistently said that it's impossible to diagnose the strength or weakness of a particular market when the team in that market hasn't enjoyed any playoff success. (James is fond of graphs; here's a representation of the number of playoff games the Blue Jackets competed in from inception to 2008.)

Winning in the playoffs is not a cure-all, but it's still the most effective way to get fans and more importantly businesses to buy your product. The more successful the Jackets are, the more fans frequent the arena district -- and the harder local businesses will fight to "save the Jackets."

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  1. Russell
    1. Posted by Russell Fri Nov 06, 2009 12:00 pm EST

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    The Jackets are not leaving. The game in Atlanta last night had less than 50% attendance, again, and they have not been shipped out yet. Florida still has 2 teams. Phoenix. A few years ago armpitsberg was going to Winnipeg, then everyone jumped on cindys nuts/bandwagon.
  2. MatteoM
    2. Posted by MatteoM Fri Nov 06, 2009 12:13 pm EST

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    This is where the owner begins demanding all he can get. This is exactly what Peter Karmanos did in Hartford before the state essentially told him to get lost and North Carolina gave him everything they had in their quest to be major league. Say goodbye to the Blue Jackets, unless the taxpayers are willing to be milked.
  3. DCBZ3
    3. Posted by DCBZ3 Fri Nov 06, 2009 12:16 pm EST

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    As was pointed out, the CBJ and the Arena have been responsible for a significant economic boost to the downtown Columbus economy. Nationwide, the Arena owner and the primary developer of the surrounding area, has too much invested to let the CBJ burn out from financial losses. Expect to see the local governments, power brokers, and Nationwide come to a relatively quick resolution, now that the options have been laid out before them. The market is solid, the team is improving, and the benefit to all is clear. Fix the underlying lease problems and play on!
  4. NostraChronus
    4. Posted by NostraChronus Fri Nov 06, 2009 12:19 pm EST

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    don't forget the Islanders have dibs on moving too; great job Bettman has done with this league. Why hasn't he moved a team to Juarez, Mexico yet?
  5. Hans Gruber
    5. Posted by Hans Gruber Fri Nov 06, 2009 12:23 pm EST

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    Cut the league back to 24 teams. Patrick, Adams, Norris and Smythe divisions. Get the old rivalries back.
  6. habs1rule
    6. Posted by habs1rule Fri Nov 06, 2009 12:31 pm EST

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    @1...Great comparisons...My misery aint worse than yours!! Remember what I told you, Canada, dont get involved in this mess. They didnt want us before, let this whole damn thing implode on their sorry asses!! Thank you, Gary.
  7. Stone Cold Locks
    7. Posted by Stone Cold Locks Fri Nov 06, 2009 12:34 pm EST

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    "The Success of the Nashville Model"? You have got to be kidding me. Nashville has been a money loser with unstable owneship and can't spend anywhere near the cap to compete - even with their revenue sharing. Who did they sign as free agents this summer?
    We heard the same crap about the Coyotes, about how these problems weren't so bad, the league can help the owners through it etc..... Who owns that team now? Who wants to own that team and keep in Phoenix? Nobody.
    When will Bettman admit his southern and small market expansion strategery was a collossal failure? How many more franchises does the NHL need to buy back?
  8. Tony G
    8. Posted by Tony G Fri Nov 06, 2009 12:38 pm EST

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    Yes losing 12M a year is a big deal, but im not to worried about the Jackets moving anywhere.
    Since the Jackets have been in town a whole "Arena District" has popped up. That includes a new baseball stadium, concert hall, and many bars/restaurants. It basically put that part of Columbus on the map. The city of Columbus or Franklin County would be stupid to let the Jackets leave.
    The main problem here is Ohio State, their Arena(The Schottenstein Center/Value City Arena, whatever it is called now) which is publicly owned is undercutting Nationwide for all the extra events.
    Yea it sucks but I have a hard time believing the Jackets are going anywhere, bad financial move by the City if they let the Jackets leave.
  9. Eric C
    9. Posted by Eric C Fri Nov 06, 2009 12:39 pm EST

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    I think it's important to distinguish the importance of winning versus the importance of winning when it's a young franchise. I think winning the cup did a lot to help Tampa and Carolina to gain a foothold in their respective areas. Whereas winning for Toronto is moot, they're still the #1 franchise financially, regardless of how poorly they do year in, year out. The big thing is for a young franchise to weather the decade or longer storm in order to make a franchise a staple of an area and more importantly, financially secure.
  10. Tony G
    10. Posted by Tony G Fri Nov 06, 2009 12:42 pm EST

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    @7 The Phoenix situation has nothing to do with the Columbus situation. I suggest read the blog before posting.
  11. habs1rule
    11. Posted by habs1rule Fri Nov 06, 2009 12:45 pm EST

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    Hockey should have a Mason-Dixon line, anything in Dixon sucks!! Pun intended.
  12. McLean
    12. Posted by McLean Fri Nov 06, 2009 12:46 pm EST

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    what they need is a financial panther
    "get em sheeba!!!"
  13. Eric C
    13. Posted by Eric C Fri Nov 06, 2009 12:50 pm EST

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    @10, exactly.
    Phoenix has a major problem in that the major metropolitan area it is drawing from is 45 minutes from it's arena. Not to mention Phoenix losing $40 - $60 million in the last 4 seasons is a big difference from Columbus' $12.
    Phoenix is a multi-part catastrophe in a totally separate category than other southern or small market franchises. That's one of the parts, but not all of it.
  14. Phil Wood
    14. Posted by Phil Wood Fri Nov 06, 2009 12:53 pm EST

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    The problem is that the Blue Jackets ARE in trouble and they AREN'T the worst case in the NHL. This is becoming a systemic problem. Lots of teams are no longer selling out and a lot of teams are beginning to bleed red. While it may not be dire straights, it is a marker of the league as a whole.
    I don't have an opinion on saving these teams - nor do I believe contraction of the league (the old 24 teams! argument) is necessarily better. You could still have many weak teams in a shrunken league, and once you open that door...
    What I did hear yesterday that was interesting was a radio analyst talking about teams who should, feasibly, run payrolls no higher than 35 mil to make the quick cover-up of lost millions. This would accomplish three things - A) balance the books, B) piss off the NHL who has a $40 mil payroll floor and C) return a spending gap to the NHL. All in all, even the simple quick answer is full of problems. The league is headed for rough times.
  15. JAL
    15. Posted by JAL Fri Nov 06, 2009 1:14 pm EST

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    The Nashville "model" is a sound one -- it is the market there that is their primary problem. Look at their results since restructuring the arena deal and it is much better.
    With the CBJ, keep in mind that this is more an arena/lease issue than it is a hockey operations issue. The fact that they have been able to do as well as they have for so long under this private arrangement is a credit to both the organization and the strength of the market. Free the club from the burden of the arena, or at least minimize and spread the burden, while providing access to the revenue streams other clubs have.
    Frankly, structured properly, Nationwide could probably give the Arena to a consortium of City, County and team, and take tax abatements and other considerations in return. The ongoing operational expense is a drop in the bucket for the public entities.
    You can't paint this issue with a broad brush. There are some great hockey markets in the lesser known cities, and Columbus is one of them. Anybody catch Game 4 of the first round of the playoffs last year?? The NHL sure did. The existing economic structure was thrown together in literally 3 weeks, after the arena lost at the polls in 1997. There is not another private arena/private team situation like this in the country, and now that the Arena District is a reality and not a dream, the deal will get done.
  16. Helm s Deep
    16. Posted by Helm's Deep Fri Nov 06, 2009 1:22 pm EST

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    The more I read about struggling franchises requiring playoff success, the more I question the refereeing of hockey games.
  17. Eric B
    17. Posted by Eric B Fri Nov 06, 2009 1:24 pm EST

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    The Blue Jackets, for all the civic pride they inspire and all the tax revnue they generate, are still a privately owned, for profit business same as the Ford, McDonalds, Wal Mart, or any other company. Corporate welfare distorts free markets, and is a wealth transfer from the general population to the wealthy. This is unsettling in the best of times and repugnent now.
    The case laid out for governemnt intervention is respectable, pursausive, even. The Blue Jackets could successed, and it may be in Ohio's interest to help them reach success. Howeve, if I were an Ohio resident, I would demand the state/local governent demand either an ownership stake or a corporate bond gaurnteed by the NHL in exchange for helping the Blue Jackets.
  18. R.J.S
    18. Posted by R.J.S Fri Nov 06, 2009 1:28 pm EST

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    The problem with Columbus has always been the small TV market size. You wonder how a team can survive long term without that. As for the Islanders, they're going nowhere. Nobody is stupid enough to move out of the New York metro market especially when you have a lucrative cable contract for like another twenty years.
  19. Helm s Deep
    19. Posted by Helm's Deep Fri Nov 06, 2009 1:28 pm EST

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    What if struggling teams could sell their cap space to viable teams? Kinda like the zero sum stupid carbon credits that polluting company's enjoy...
  20. batesyep
    20. Posted by batesyep Fri Nov 06, 2009 1:39 pm EST

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    Columbus has no problem supporting public efforts with public money. We voted just in August to raise our income tax by .5% and we passed our last school levy on the ballot. The thing with columbus city residents, is we are smart. We support libraries, parks and city programs but will not be fooled by corporate charity. Present a plan that columbus residents will benefit from, and it will be supported.
  21. DuckBasher
    21. Posted by DuckBasher Fri Nov 06, 2009 1:44 pm EST

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    helm's, that is a great idea. Like the way Corporate America sells pollution through carbon credits, that is a brilliant idea!
  22. TeddyBallGame
    22. Posted by TeddyBallGame Fri Nov 06, 2009 1:51 pm EST

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    @ 16...Agreed, I cant believe there were 7 straight penalties against the CBJ last night.
  23. Pensfan71
    23. Posted by Pensfan71 Fri Nov 06, 2009 2:00 pm EST

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    Move them to the Eastern Conference, it will cut travel costs a little. It won't save them but it wouldn't hurt. They should have been there in the first place. I've had to watch 2 Pens game that started at 10:00 and 10:30 here, its not fun jackets fans have to do that all the time, thats got to suck.
  24. Mat M
    24. Posted by Mat M Fri Nov 06, 2009 2:02 pm EST

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    I hear that KC has an area ready...
  25. noelrod9
    25. Posted by noelrod9 Fri Nov 06, 2009 2:08 pm EST

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    When they first got the team they knew what the numbers would be. Nothing has changed so they knew they were going to lose money. But they see other sports getting free rent, maintenance all revenue streams including non team related and on top of all that not having to pay local taxes. Well Columbus doesn't seem as crooked as many other cities and they have a long term lease. The NHL cant afford to keep letting teams going bankrup so let them deal with it.

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