Wed Oct 28, 2009 10:29 am EDT

See last week's absurdly premature playoff picture here.
AFC First-Round Byes:
Indianapolis Colts
Denver Broncos
Other AFC Divisional Champions:
Pittsburgh Steelers
New England Patriots
AFC Wild Cards:
Cincinnati Bengals
Houston Texans
NFC First-Round Byes:
New Orleans Saints
Minnesota Vikings
Other NFC Divisional Champions:
New York Giants
Arizona Cardinals
NFC Wild Cards:
Green Bay Packers
Dallas Cowboys
• The big theme this week is stability. The entire AFC is the same, and all four first-round byes are the same, even though one of them, the Vikings, went down. I'm not going to kill anyone for a could've-gone-either-way road loss to Pittsburgh though, and it's not like anyone else is making a bold charge at the spot right now.
• Dallas joins the Absurdly Premature Playoff Picture for the first time in '09. To be honest with you, I was close to throwing caution (and perhaps reason) to the wind and making them the NFC East champ, because I'm so down on the Giants and Eagles right now. Giants @ Eagles this Sunday is so interesting and so important for both teams. Do yourself a favor, Andy Reid, and let Donovan McNabb(notes) take a handful of snaps consecutively.
• Arizona edged out San Francisco for the NFC West spot. Sorry, 49ers. It's not about you, really, I'm just liking what the Cardinals are doing, particularly up front defensively. Four of their next five are against the Panthers, Seahawks, Rams and Titans, too. If they do what they're supposed to do, they could build a healthy divisional lead.
• I'm feeling pretty good about moving the Texans into the picture last week. I don't know if I'm getting suckered in just because they're so much fun to watch, or because the Battle Red uniforms make me think they have the strength and determination of firemen, but I'm feeling really good about their Wild Card chances.
• Every week I do this, I stop and look up the next Steelers vs. Bengals game. It's the week after this one. (Wildly giggling to myself.) I'm excited for that one.
Shutdown Corner is an NFL blog edited by Matthew J. Darnell. Email him, and follow him on Twitter.

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236 Comments
1 - 25 of 236
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I think you're making a mistake here. Although looking at their remaining schedule compared to the Cards, I can see where you're coming from.
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"....If you've got nothing against the Niners MJD, then what the heck is Green Bay doing in that wild card spot?...."
LOL!!
Niner fan thinks his team is better than the Packers ............
That's funny....
No?
...
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And yes, the Packers are playing better than the Niners right now. On the AFC side, it'll be interesting to see if the Texans can actually hold it together and make the playoffs. Also, the Patriots look way better than most of those AFC teams, except for Pitt and Indy.
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Yeah - the NFL ripped the mask right off of the last master of the dink and dunk... what was that last name again.. Montana?
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Stay in hiding until next year
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And Denver Broncos are still undefeated, aren't they?, So yes, they belong in that spot regardless of what kinda history they have or how much you might hate them.
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It also may be time to add teams to the category "on the outside looking in"
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Actually, record has a lot to do with it, but the broncos had to go 4-0 before even sneaking into the picture, while the whole time the Bolts were sucking it up with (at one point) a 1-2 record. There's a lot of author preference, but I do have to laugh at #15's assertion that McD and Orton will somehow be magically figured out to the point that they can't win a game or keep their bid for a first-round bye alive.
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