Ball Don't Lie - NBA

Once again back is the incredible ... Ball Don't Lie's NBA previews, outlining offseason moves, projecting win totals, spinning tracks and much, much more. It's a fun, hot mess. Today, the New Jersey Nets.

2008-09 Record: 34-38 48, third place in Atlantic Division
Head Coach/Facial Hair: Lawrence Frank/None
Key Additions: Courtney Lee(notes), Rafer Alston(notes), Terrence Williams(notes), a Russian billionaire
Key Losses: Vince Carter(notes), Ryan Anderson(notes)

After staving it off and putting it off for years, the New Jersey Nets are finally rebuilding.

And, yes, we wrote that last year.

Still, with Vince Carter gone, this is finally a complete and total rebuilding project. And even though we did write about that 12 months ago, the Nets nearly doubled my win projection, they took in a Rookie of the Year-level season from center (center!) Brook Lopez(notes), Devin Harris(notes) turned into an All-Star and Carter was turned into a mess of expiring deals (trade bait) and solid backcourt man Courtney Lee.

So why all the sour faces?

Not sure. Maybe it had to do with the C-Lee-for-VC deal, one that saw Lee moping a bit as he went from a championship contender in Orlando to a rebuilding project without a proper home in New Jersey. Maybe it has to do with Bruce Ratner's failed attempt to get the team to play in David Wain's backyard. Maybe it has to do with rebuilding, in general; nobody likes it, and after years of actually being at or near the NBA's elite, it kind of stinks for the Nets to head back to the place they know so well.

For whatever reason, I'm not as dour. Mikhail Prokhorov is about to take over, and is always the case with meddling young billionaires, there's a chance he screws everything up. There's also a chance all that money works. The lows can be really low in this situation, but the payoff could also be huge. Let's go half-full with this one.

Lopez is a center, and I can't stress enough how fantastic that is for Nets fans. You won't have to hear, "now, if they can only pair him with a solid big man down low ..." with Lopez. He is that big man, and those are few and far between. Sure, New Jersey's forward corps just might be the worst in the NBA, but you can find forwards. Especially with all that cap space (likely over $30 million, once a few players' options are passed on) coming in next summer.

Harris can play, when he stays healthy, and there's little reason to think he won't stay healthy. Lee, I'm not so ga-ga over. Lee's already 24, so there isn't huge upside offensively (he can catch and shoot, and finish, little else), but he is a fine defender. Terrence Williams is a four-year guy, which worries me, but there is potential there despite his age. Yi Jianlian(notes)? I'll go another month without completely writing him off. We'll see where he's at come January.

I can't stress enough, though, that this doesn't matter. This present era, this roster as currently constructed, is already ancient history. It's something to look back on, with noses plugged, a few years from now when the team has spent its cash and built itself back up. It should be, at least.

It's something to warm yourself on. Until then ...

Prediction: 24-58

Kelly Dwyer

Will the Nets improve enough to attract a quality free agent?

There is so much news swirling around the Nets, but, basically, the team needs to make a splash in the summer of 2010 or, who knows, become the Kansas City Nets before too long. In that respect, they resemble the fate of their metro neighbors, the Knicks. But New York has steady management in place and isn't in any danger of having to relocate. But how are the Nets going to make anyone want to come there unless they can show dramatic improvement on and off the court?

— Peter May, Yahoo! Sports 2009-10 NBA Preview magazine

Maxell's "Blown Away Guy"

Slippery When Nets: "The Nets need to use this season to clearly see what their assets are truly worth. Clearly, Bobby Simmons(notes), Rafer Alston, Tony Battie(notes), Eduardo Najera(notes) and Trenton Hassell(notes) will not be back next year. What can Terrence Williams achieve in the league? Is Courtney Lee the starting shooting guard for the team's future? Is Yi Jianlian or Chris Douglas-Roberts(notes) worthy of a roster spot? Are Josh Boone(notes) and Sean Williams(notes) just busts, or major busts? Is there room enough to keep valuable veterans like Keyon Dooling(notes) and Jarvis Hayes(notes) around?" [more]

Barkley's Mouth: "Lawrence Frank will keep the team as competitve as possible, but despite his desire and will, that may not translate to a team filled with the extremes of young and old players in regards to chemistry. Plus, it doesn't help that the Nets are in such transition this season with the purge to clear cap space and a potential sale of the team and move out of state to Brooklyn, N.Y. It might be a season where everyone is looking to get his. The likeable Frank could be gone during or after the season because of the chaos." [more]

NBA Noise: "The young Nets players will have a great opportunity to get their shine on. Lee will be coming off his NBA Finals high and can hopefully translate some of his big-game experience into productivity for the Nets. After a solid rookie season, Brook Lopez is looking like a center that a team can build around and will be a key player for this Nets team. [...] And the progression of Yi Jianlian will be an interesting storyline for the Nets, as he has shown great flashes of potential ..." [more]

Velvet Underground, "I'm Waiting For The Man"

The Nets are heading to New York, and they've got their money. But they have to wait. For at least a year, they'll be waiting. Maybe he'll come, maybe he won't, but that's just another time.

(Note: Brook Lopez thinks this song is about pizza.)

— Trey Kerby, The Blowtorch

Vince Carter's departure signals the dawn of a new era for Nets' basketball, with Devin Harris, Brook Lopez, Courtney Lee, Yi Jianlian, Terrence Williams and Chris Douglas-Roberts forming the young nucleus. This is a team high on fantasy potential but clearly does not lack question marks.

Can Harris shed the inconsistency and injuries that plagued him in his first year as a full-time starter? He'll have to if he's to warrant a second-round pick. Lopez was superb as a rookie and is now due for a healthy spike in usage - the gamble in the early third is that there isn't a drop-off from the high level of efficiency he maintained as a rookie. Is Yi Jianlian (finally) ready to become a player that can be counted on night-in and night-out? At least it only takes a (very) late pick to speculate.

— Matt Buser, Yahoo! Sports Fantasy Basketball / BuserSports.com

Sign up now for Fantasy Basketball '09.

MCA: 35 wins or not, I'll be rockin' this party eight days a week. #Nets #Brooklyn
8:22 PM October 4, 2009 from web

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35 Comments

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  1. mcwelk
    1. Posted by mcwelk Tue Oct 06, 2009 12:35 pm EDT

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    Wow, you lengthened Lopez's legs too? Photoshop +10
  2. justin r
    2. Posted by justin r Tue Oct 06, 2009 12:37 pm EDT

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    There I was [profane]in' about no Michael Bay tweets, and then you go post MCA. Noice!
  3. C
    3. Posted by C Tue Oct 06, 2009 1:26 pm EDT

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    Harris and C Lee is going to dominate
  4. razzle dazzle
    4. Posted by razzle dazzle Tue Oct 06, 2009 1:51 pm EDT

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    Props to the Brook Lopez image. Where'd you get that background?!
  5. Paul
    5. Posted by Paul Tue Oct 06, 2009 1:58 pm EDT

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    Check this new video out ROCKETS 918
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s9oELMsv5Lo
  6. Czheck
    6. Posted by Czheck Tue Oct 06, 2009 1:58 pm EDT

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    KD is on crack. everything he says is garbage. KD you need to study basketball before you just go throw out all these accusations and claims of top tens and so on. the fact that you picked popavich over phil jackson shows your real IQ
  7. Vittorio De Zen
    7. Posted by Vittorio De Zen Tue Oct 06, 2009 2:24 pm EDT

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    "Czheck" - go away.
    Another great preview. Perfect perspective. Still can't get over how lucky they were to land Lopez - dude is a stud. This team might still stink this year, but it's irrelevant. Long-term, people.
  8. Reppin 4rm Big D to Jrzy
    8. Posted by Reppin 4rm Big D to Jrzy Tue Oct 06, 2009 2:29 pm EDT

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    i predict nets to still finish 3rd.....knicks are gonna get outrebounded and take bad shots every night.....raps are gonna suffer fron light bench and giving stars heavy minutes.....sixers will prolly get 50 wins the most because they cant hits 3's or ft's(see: end of game leading to devin harris miracle shot)........yes money will be flowing off the books but harris and lopez need to have all-star seasons to attract high-market free agents....not even lebron but any 2nd-tier forward core w/ some key reserve guards that can shoot and a guy like stoudemire or bosh that lets frank dial up plays to pound it in the paint will make this a short rebuilding project
  9. Brian R
    9. Posted by Brian R Tue Oct 06, 2009 3:07 pm EDT

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    Awesome Public Enemy/Chuck D reference to start this post Skeets.
  10. Hibachi
    10. Posted by Hibachi Tue Oct 06, 2009 3:08 pm EDT

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    i'm ashamed of that first picture.
  11. Pedro
    11. Posted by Pedro Tue Oct 06, 2009 3:38 pm EDT

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    The Nets should struggle this season given they dont have a decent PF or SF or solid depth. Harris has proved he can be an elite PG, Lopez is a very solid Center with much upside, and Courtney Lee is very solid but not an elite player. The Nets need to trade Alston for a solid PF now! or at least some solid role players that can provide depth and play hard. Boone may prove to be solid, but he needs consistent minutes to prove himself, which he didnt have last season. Probably because he made some poor choices on the court several times. Hayes is a solid rotation guy, but thats it. Yi is a softy with no post game whatsoever. He's 7'1 and plays like a 6'6 shooting guard. The only way he MIGHT become anything solid is next to a true PF at his natural position of SF. The dillusions of Yi being a "Power" Forward need to be forgotten immediately.
  12. kennywayne27
    12. Posted by kennywayne27 Tue Oct 06, 2009 6:53 pm EDT

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    i m a net fan but i m really upst over the off season to get back on track nets will have to get lebon anyhow and keep a balcanced budget after that lebron = harris = champs or playoffs
  13. rocky63215
    13. Posted by rocky63215 Tue Oct 06, 2009 7:24 pm EDT

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    Pedro what are you talking about an elite point guard? 6.9 assists? That's average at best. Now if you put Haris at his true positon the 6.9 is good. The Nets are going to suck this year.
  14. hellomoto
    14. Posted by hellomoto Tue Oct 06, 2009 8:50 pm EDT

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    Just remember i am a nests fan before u judge me. Personally i think they will do mediocre or below for the up comming season. Of course I am totally psyched for this new Russian guy to come and help us, but we also have a few problems. Everyone always talks about getting lebron, bosh, mabey even wade. sure we obviously have money but what is going to drive theme here. The fact of New York i feel is not going to attract any of those players any more or less. when jordan came to chicago, was no new york. what was one of the resons jjordan became so big? he tured the bulls from any team to an elite team. now unless we could have drafted l3 or wade or bosh how are we gonna get them. lebron being on the lakers could get him more attention then comming to the nets. unless we have a above medocre season i feel the big free agents wont come shoot hoops with the nets.
  15. KneeJerkNBA
    15. Posted by KneeJerkNBA Tue Oct 06, 2009 9:08 pm EDT

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    @11 Pedro: Nice analysis. On point.
    The Nets won't be good this year but I like the defense in their backcourt.
  16. Jesse
    16. Posted by Jesse Tue Oct 06, 2009 10:57 pm EDT

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    LOVED the David Wain reference!! I wonder if even one other reader got it...
  17. t_mac_1992@...
    17. Posted by t_mac_1992@... Wed Oct 07, 2009 12:17 am EDT

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    d.harris is good,but not a LEADER.
  18. jay_truth
    18. Posted by jay_truth Wed Oct 07, 2009 12:42 am EDT

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    it's all up to Yi
    a near-seven footer with a feathery stroke, and flashes of a decent inside game..... Now if he can rebound better then five, block at least a shot a night (he should crack 2 a night at his height) and play D.... Well you can hold rebuilding off for another year.
    thats a mofo'n big, big if though. Please step up Yi. Please!
  19. Steven R
    19. Posted by Steven R Wed Oct 07, 2009 2:17 am EDT

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    Yi sucks!
  20. CB
    20. Posted by CB Wed Oct 07, 2009 6:29 am EDT

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    We will welcome the Nets to Kansas City!
  21. Troyster
    21. Posted by Troyster Wed Oct 07, 2009 9:38 am EDT

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    Yi should play alongside Yao and only then will he reach his potential & become an All-Star.
    Anyways, it's gonna be Brook Lopez's breakout year this season!
  22. redsoxchamps0418
    22. Posted by redsoxchamps0418 Wed Oct 07, 2009 11:06 am EDT

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    nets are gonna alright this year and a huge nets fan
  23. AY
    23. Posted by AY Wed Oct 07, 2009 12:30 pm EDT

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    i remember when rookies in the league were not much younger than 24. now we're calling guys like courtney lee washed up?? insane.

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