Wed Nov 18, 2009 6:32 am EST
One of the things that kept a Roy Halladay(notes) trade from happening when J.P. Ricciardi was still the general manager of the Toronto Blue Jays was the fact that he wouldn't allow other teams any time window to negotiate a possible contract extension with the stellar hurler.
Ricciardi is no longer GM and the new guy, Alex Anthopoulos, is reportedly shifting things around. He is supposedly ready to give other teams a short time window to let them try to negotiate an extension with Halladay if a trade were to get that far, according to MLB.com.
Halladay has one year left on his current contract and it's looking pretty good right now that he won't be wearing a Blue Jays uniform during that time.
Source: MLB.com
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63 Comments
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Maybe the Jays should eat part of Halladay's new contract too. Don't want to leave the Yankees strapped for cash.
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Red Sox 5-1
Dodgers 7-1
Phillies 9-1
Angels 10-1
Yankees 15-1
Mets 20-1
Field 25-1
No Deal 20-1
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Having said that, I still think it is a buyer's market for Halladay. I still think most of the teams you listed in your odds in #14 will be in contention come the All-Star Break without Halladay, so they can save $8-9 million in salary by picking him up then IF they feel they need him to compete, but I think most would like to wait and see. The way I see it, Halladay's market value from a trade perspective will be about the same as it is now.
IF Halladay isn't traded to one of the LA teams (he makes too much sense in either location... the Dodgers desperately need a #1 starter and have the payroll capacity to afford him, and the Angels can slot him into Lackey's spot for only a modest increase in what they're willing to pay Lackey in an extension), I see him being the Blue Jays' opening day starter.
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I think there is absolutely no way on God's green creation that the Phillies trade for Halladay this off-season. That ship has sailed. There is just no way, no how, that the Phillies have the money to spend on long-term deals for both Cliff Lee and Roy Halladay, so giving up the prospects that we already know the Blue Jays want for Halladay (several, not all of Taylor, Happ, Drabek, and Brown) for a one-year rental of Halladay, when the team is already expected to heavily contend without him, is epic stupidity. And if Ruben Amaro, Jr. proved anything in his first year as GM, it's that he's not stupid. A very vocal portion of the fan base, on the other hand, is clamoring for a "sell the farm, buy Roy Halladay" trade. They're, obviously, not quite as smart.
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At 15-1, I want to put some money on the Yankees. How much can I get down? Boston at 5-1 is a sucker bet.
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If I was Roy Halladay, I treat this off-season as my "testing the waters in FA." The reason being is that there is a relatively weak FA market for starting pitchers this year. Not so next year. Next year, Cliff Lee, Josh Beckett, Brandon Webb, Javier Vazquez, Jorge de la Rosa and Ted Lilly, among numerous slightly lower tier pitchers (Aaron Harang, Bronson Arroya, Kevin Millwood, Jake Westbrook) will all be on the FA market. And that's just the pitchers. I count six 2009 All-Star position players who will also be FAs after the 2010 season, as will Manny Ramirez.
With only a limited number of teams who can afford the big bucks all these guys will command, Halladay may be much better off trying to demand a trade and sign an extension this off-season than to get in the middle of that game of high-stakes musical chairs a year from now.
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