Roto Arcade - Fantasy


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For 14 maddening seasons, Lucifer Shanahan reigned over the Rockies with unmatched fiendishness. His perpetual orange glow, cruel strategies and general guardedness permanently blinded many in Fantasyland. Any owner who invested heavily in Denver running backs - it was impossible to own just one - always had a cabinet stockpiled with stiff liquors. During his tenure, eight different names topped the team's leaderboard in rushing.

When Shanahan was canned this past offseason, the virtual masses were elated. Drunken celebrations ensued. Fires were lit. Toyota Camrys felt unsafe. Gone were the days of reckless unpredictability. With the black cloud of uncertainty lifted, fantasy stability had finally returned to Denver.

Or so we thought...

Watching over the surprisingly undefeated Broncos with an evil eye and sharpened pitchfork, Colorado's newest malevolent demon, Josh McDaniels, has instituted a strategy equally sinister to any Shanahan scheme. Though a sense of firmness has indeed swept over the Broncos backfield - Knowshon Moreno(notes) and Correll Buckhalter(notes) have distinctly established themselves as the 1A, 1B options - the McDevil's merry-go-round receiver rotation has crippled the value of an early round pick many predicted would be the second-coming of Wes Welker(notes), Eddie Royal(notes).

Last year, the crafty Virginia Tech product electrified the fantasy faithful. In 15 contests, many of them spectacular, the Mile High Monarch was a PPR prodigy. Overall, he snagged 91 passes, 980 yards and five scores finishing with a point per game average (8.5) that ranked just outside the WR top 20. Blazing fast, elusive and polished, his Royal highness was expected to build on his dynamite rookie campaign as the slot option in McDaniels' Patriots-inspired spread system. It was a foregone conclusion.

Unfortunately, Royal has become fantasy's most distrusted antiking. Through three games, he's caught a mere six passes for 42 yards and zero touchdowns. His stellar 1.4 points per game average ranks 98th among wideouts, behind such future Canton icons as Sammie Stroughter(notes), Malcolm Kelly(notes) and Keenan Burton(notes).

The maligned wideout's arduous start has understandably caused chaos in the fantasy community. Threads on popular message boards have become podiums for Royal disdain. To the naysayer, trusting anyone from the Beelzechick School of Sin was bound to be a fruitless exercise, especially with a noodle-armed quarterback running the offense. The distaste for Royal has reached such a fevered pitch, some impatient owners have even suggested dropping the once prized pass catcher, which, this early in the game, is complete lunacy.

Without a doubt McDaniels' philosophy and Kyle Orton's(notes) flaccid arm (Minus Jay Cutler(notes), defenses have employed more deep safety zones against Denver) have stymied Royal's value. With Brandon Stokley(notes) and Jabar Gaffney(notes) working primarily out of the slot, the second-year receiver has operated exclusively as a wingman opposite Brandon Marshall(notes). He's also been used as a decoy, often enticing double coverage. For example, last week he forced Nnamdi Asomugha(notes) to defend the edge in an attempt to free others across-the-middle. He finished with just one catch for four yards. Despite the worrisome downturn in production, the unselfish youngster, a consummate team player, isn't concerned. From the Colorado Gazette:

"We're just spreading the ball around right now," Royal said. "I knew that's how the offense worked, and so did everybody else. We're going to spread the ball around so everybody can make plays. On this team, we have so many playmakers spread out that it's hard to key on one guy. It's good to have an offense like that with a lot of explosive players. Nobody really cares about numbers right now. We just want to win."

In a system predicated on short slants and drags, his skills have undoubtedly been underutilized. But, as McDaniels recently suggested, his involvement in the Broncos' aerial attack will largely be matchup dependent. Some weeks he will attract an appreciable amount of looks, others he won't. From the Denver Post:

"We haven't thrown him the ball a lot. Because there's other guys open or somebody is trying to take Eddie away," McDaniels said. "Eddie's patient. Eddie knows what we do with our offense. Some weeks there will be 12 balls thrown at him. Some weeks there might be three. We're not going to try and jam it into one guy when we have 10 players that are worth throwing the ball too."

Expect Week 4 to pay a Royal dividend.

Denver hosts a Dallas club that has defended the pass marginally. On the season, the 'Boys have allowed 275.3 passing yards per game and the sixth-most fantasy points to receivers. Marshall's reemergence coupled with the Pokes' defensive inadequacies should provide the quiet weapon with several man-on-man opportunities against Mike Jenkins(notes), a situation he will most certainly exploit. The 14,000-plus Yahoo! leaguers who kicked Royal to the curb this week will come crawling back. Michael Clayton(notes) he is not.

The McDevil is undeniably ghoulish. But on his wide receiver roulette wheel, it's smart to lay down chip stacks on No. 19 from this point forward. Though he will be hard-pressed to match last year's totals, Royal is still one of the finer buy low bargains currently in virtual pigskin.

Week 4 Fearless Forecast: 5 receptions, 78 yards, 1 touchdown

What are your thoughts on Royal's slow start? Is he drop-worthy? How patient will you be? Discuss below.

--

Image courtesy of US Presswire

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316 Comments

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  1. John N
    1. Posted by John N Wed Sep 30, 2009 12:17 pm EDT

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    One more game is about all the slack I'm going to give Royal. Fortunately the league I own him in is only a 10-teamer so there are options available. I may not drop the guy, but he will be riding the pine indefinitely if he does not produce against the 'Boys. As in it will take consecutive impressive performances followed by a favorable matchup for him to be considered an option. What a waste of a high draft pick this was.
  2. SteveA
    2. Posted by SteveA Wed Sep 30, 2009 12:20 pm EDT

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    I doubt it. I'm dropping this ROYAL pain in the ***
  3. thegeneralfamily
    3. Posted by thegeneralfamily Wed Sep 30, 2009 12:21 pm EDT

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    you endorsing this pick as enthusiastically as last week's? (seriously, i'm not the type to hold you gurus accountable for me losing, i realize your suggestions are merely that, but yikes!)
  4. Insane Wayne
    4. Posted by Insane Wayne Wed Sep 30, 2009 12:21 pm EDT

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    I dont quite trust kyle orton. I say eddie should pout like Marshall. Then maybe he'll get a new contract too! :P
  5. Darren
    5. Posted by Darren Wed Sep 30, 2009 12:22 pm EDT

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    He is gone after week 2. I picked up K. Walter.
  6. thegeneralfamily
    6. Posted by thegeneralfamily Wed Sep 30, 2009 12:22 pm EDT

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    (i meant about j finley)
  7. motorman
    7. Posted by motorman Wed Sep 30, 2009 12:25 pm EDT

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    so are you saying we should play him or wait and see how he does this week?
  8. GuitarMark
    8. Posted by GuitarMark Wed Sep 30, 2009 12:27 pm EDT

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    I could never get Royal at the price I was willing to pay, so I'm not part of this ride.
  9. Dave N
    9. Posted by Dave N Wed Sep 30, 2009 12:27 pm EDT

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    I'm cutting the Royal Stiff right now for something named Chansi Stuckey...I can't afford another 0
  10. Jay
    10. Posted by Jay Wed Sep 30, 2009 12:27 pm EDT

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    :( sadly I dropped him already and in free agency he sits.. and sits..
  11. Jay
    11. Posted by Jay Wed Sep 30, 2009 12:27 pm EDT

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    :( sadly I dropped him already and in free agency he sits.. and sits..
  12. KingOfSmyrna
    12. Posted by KingOfSmyrna Wed Sep 30, 2009 12:28 pm EDT

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    Already dropped his a$$.
  13. Rudyard
    13. Posted by Rudyard Wed Sep 30, 2009 12:30 pm EDT

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    One more week and I will take the pain of him possibly going off for another team, however this should be a good week for him to light it up................last chance
  14. LT
    14. Posted by LT Wed Sep 30, 2009 12:31 pm EDT

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    Royal is on extremely thin ice with me as well. The "12 one week, 3 the next" quote does not inspire confindence, especially since we've seen nothing but the latter so far. And is McDaniels including offensive linemen among the "10 players that are worth throwing the ball to?" Because he certainly isn't including Royal.
  15. BigNoise
    15. Posted by BigNoise Wed Sep 30, 2009 12:31 pm EDT

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    GeneralFamily: Win some. Lose most. For what it's worth, we're 3-for-3 on players featured in the Noise (Kevin Smith, Fred Jackson and Willis McGahee).
  16. BigNoise
    16. Posted by BigNoise Wed Sep 30, 2009 12:38 pm EDT

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    motorman: I take it you were not a quality note taker in college. Maybe you majored in archery? For the Cliffs Notes version of the feature above, just read the bolded line at the bottom. That answers your question.
  17. million_dollar_sleeper
    17. Posted by million_dollar_sleeper Wed Sep 30, 2009 12:39 pm EDT

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    let the 8-10 team leaguers do what they want. ppl who play real leagues cannot drop royal
    players in new systems (orton) almost always experience a drop off in stats. give them time
    if brandon marshall ever stops trying to be Larry Johnson, things should open up
  18. Serpent
    18. Posted by Serpent Wed Sep 30, 2009 12:40 pm EDT

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    I traded him before the season began. I took one look at Orton and the Denver O in preseason and gave up on them. They haven't played any real defenses yet, but when they do, look out. The schedule is pretty tough the rest of the way out, the Broncos will cement themselves as one of the 5 worst teams in the league within 4 weeks.
    Incidentally, the guy I traded Royal to dropped him this week.
  19. Justin G
    19. Posted by Justin G Wed Sep 30, 2009 12:43 pm EDT

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    You should have mentioned that he is 2nd on the team in targets (16), only behind Marshall (20) ..so it's not like he isn't getting looks..
  20. Jason B
    20. Posted by Jason B Wed Sep 30, 2009 12:44 pm EDT

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    I own Royal in my league. And while I don't share Evans' enthusiasm re: Royal this week - I haven't dropped him to free agency just yet. That's too rash of a move in a deeper (12 teams or more) league. People will be kicking themselves is Royal's going off in December....
  21. Millertime
    21. Posted by Millertime Wed Sep 30, 2009 12:46 pm EDT

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    I cut him just today. Sorry but if you add Orton with the scheme as having him as a deep threat instead of an underneath guy and you have a guy out of place and not on anyones radar. Even from what McDaniels said, how can you trust him?One week when he is on your bench he MIGHT go off but then he might get you 1 catch another week. Do you want to deal with that every week from a guy drafted as a WR2?
  22. porsche_playa
    22. Posted by porsche_playa Wed Sep 30, 2009 12:50 pm EDT

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    "Some weeks there will be 12 balls thrown at him. Some weeks there might be three. We're not going to try and jam it into one guy when we have 10 players that are worth throwing the ball too." - Josh McDaniel
    This says it all. Guys like this have almost zero fantasy value because it's impossible to predict when the big week will happen. WRs who have 4 good weeks and 13 crappy weeks are not roster material unless you're in a pretty big league. Royals gone from a marginal WR2 or WR3 to a bona fide WR6.
    Sure, if you have a major bye week problem, give him a shot and hope you get lucky. But you can't realistically rank him above #60 at WR at best on any given week.
    I dropped Royal for L Robinson last week in a 10-team league, then dropped Robinson for Garcon this week. Nobody has bothered to roster Royal since I dropped him, either.
  23. Chris
    23. Posted by Chris Wed Sep 30, 2009 12:51 pm EDT

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    Royal was dropped in week 1 of my league...10 team league with 3 WR, and he still is on the Free Agent list. I don't him getting picked up without atleast 1 or 2 big games....welcome to Fantasy Irelevancy, Mr. Royal.
  24. Crono
    24. Posted by Crono Wed Sep 30, 2009 12:52 pm EDT

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    Already flushed Royal in two leagues, only keeping him for now in one.
  25. norrisou
    25. Posted by norrisou Wed Sep 30, 2009 12:55 pm EDT

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    Your stuff is getting hard to read Evans.

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