Roto Arcade - Fantasy

Over the next couple weeks we will examine several dazzling exhibition performances to help fantasy followers decipher the meaningful from the meaningless. Hey, some spring efforts are actually relevant. Oh, and for those concerned about indecent behavior, all players featured will be partially fully clothed.  

Zimmerman(n)s are about to run amok in the nation's capital.

Similar to the buzz surrounding the Nationals' offensive Zimmerman, Ryan, three years ago, elite pitching prospect Jordan Zimmermann is starting to turn heads. Fantasy fans better take notice.

One of Baseball America's top up-and-comers, the 22-year-old has routinely made opposing swatters look silly this spring. In 12.1 innings he's scattered just six hits, not yielded a run and posted a sparkling 16:2 K:BB split. Sure, it's a small sample, but based on the rookie's pedigree, the returns are eye-opening to say the least.

The former '07 second-rounder, who slipped in the draft due to complications after taking a laser beam off the jaw, is projected by most scouts to eventually develop into a top-of-the-rotation mantasy. His five-pitch arsenal – 90-94 mph fastball, low-90s sinker, slow curve, tight mid-80s slider and change – has perplexed hitters at the minor league level. Zimmermann's secondary pitches, particularly his off-speed stuff, need more refinement, but his remaining weapons are already considered major league ready. Combine that with an aggressive demeanor and fearless attitude, and the nasty Nat fits the profile of a future fantasy stud.

Between High- and Double-A last season, the youngster tallied a 2.86 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, 8.89 K/9 and 3.12 BB/9 in 135.2 innings pitched. His variety of weapons, particularly his lethal sinker, embarrassed batters (.214 BAA), coaxing several groundball outs (48.2 GB%).

Historically, the Nats front office hasn't been shy promoting upside arms. Although many Washington fans have stressed he needs more farm seasoning, the uninspiring play of Collin Balester (6.55 ERA) has likely propelled Zimmermann into the rotation. Skipper Manny Acta can't stop gushing about the kid:

"He's quite impressive. He attacks the strike zone. He had a very sharp slider today. For those guys that haven't seen him, they struggled with that slider. He locked up a couple good hitters in that lineup...We've got three weeks to go. If he doesn't get anybody out from here to the last day of the season, then I'm going to have to eat my words if I put him in the rotation today. We're going to make the decision on whether it's going to be the best for him or for us. Right now, it looks like it will be the best thing for us."

With any underdeveloped pitcher, bumps in the road and an innings cap should be expected. But Washington's offensive improvements, pitcher friendly environment and Zimmermann's punchout potential mean he's worth acquiring now.

However, don't fall too in love.

Yes, many big leaguers haven't seen his stuff, which means a sizzling start similar to Johnny Cueto's last year is possible. If that happens, owners in non-keeper leagues should seek a gullible trade suitor. Remember how Cueto performed over the rest of the season? Bandwagon boneheads always overpay for early season surprises. Just ask the dude in your league who still drafts Chris Shelton.

Zimmermann, going largely undrafted and still available in 84 percent of Y! leagues, is a future ace, but his inexperience will undoubtedly breed inconsistency. 

Fearless Forecast: 135 IP, 8 W, 4.34 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 101 K

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Image courtesy of the Washington Times

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84 Comments

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  1. BigNoise
    1. Posted by BigNoise Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:07 pm EDT

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    What's your Zimmerman fearless forecast? Post below.
  2. Dan P
    2. Posted by Dan P Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:14 pm EDT

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    I just missed him in my auction league I played in, nominated him very late in the draft and some guy bid $3 on him that I just couldn't afford. Of course Zimmerman goes out the next day and propels his scoreless streak to 12+ innings. Ugh I wish I could have him right now! I think you projection is pretty spot on, can't expect a lot of wins from a Nationals pitcher, he should K nearly 1 an inning considering I've heard he has 4 pitches he can work with. So I'll go with...
    140 IP, 8 W, 4.40 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 120 K
  3. Jayvee
    3. Posted by Jayvee Thu Sep 03, 2009 8:16 pm EDT

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    150 innings, 11 W, 3.99 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, 125 K
  4. the authority
    4. Posted by the authority Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:27 pm EDT

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    have him in two leagues, before his last 4 inning masterpiece(2 hits, 6 k's)..
    definately man-crush material right now!!
    145 IP, 9 w, 4.19 era, 1.26 whip, 120 k's.
  5. bakerbaker22
    5. Posted by bakerbaker22 Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:41 pm EDT

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    196 IP, 17 W, 2.89 ERA, 1.11 WHIP,201 K
  6. mark
    6. Posted by mark Thu Sep 03, 2009 8:56 pm EDT

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    Well, there goes any secrets I had about taking this guy in the last pick of the draft.....
  7. RAZOR SHINES
    7. Posted by RAZOR SHINES Thu Sep 03, 2009 8:09 pm EDT

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    Does this mean we as owners get to miss his best game of the season b/c he's not available... deja vu baby.
  8. mark
    8. Posted by mark Thu Sep 03, 2009 8:56 pm EDT

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    Yahoo just can't keep a secret...now every schmuck will know about zimmerman..
  9. Dave
    9. Posted by Dave Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:45 pm EDT

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    I missed him by a few hours in one 20 team dynasty league and by a few picks in a 16 team keeper. It's all good, I just didn't want to pull the trigger on him too early and the word got out that he's legit. You win some, you lose some. What this column does is push him way up for some tool in one of the two drafts I've got this weekend. I'll watch at least one or two people break their arms reaching for this guy, guaranteed, while I wait to see who falls in my lap in their place. Happens every time.
  10. TwentySevenOuts
    10. Posted by TwentySevenOuts Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:25 pm EDT

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    Future ace? I'm pretty sure last I read he's considered a 4-star prospect and no better than a future middle of the rotation guy. That's certainly nothing to shake a stick at and yeah he's only 22 and with good command, but take it easy.
    I'm also pretty sure his name is spelled Zimmermann.
  11. Anthony K
    11. Posted by Anthony K Thu Sep 03, 2009 2:56 pm EDT

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    was Cueto such a horrible player?
    yeah he struggled in year 1 of being in the big show...but he posted great K/9 ratios, and has only been in the Reds system for what 2-3 years? comparing Zimm to Cueto isn't a horrible thing...you know.
  12. million_dollar_sleeper
    12. Posted by million_dollar_sleeper Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:20 pm EDT

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    Fearless forecast?
    How can you even use the word fearless when you conspire to keep Ted Dibiase out of the blog leagues
    There's nothing fearless about these blogs.
    Million dollar prediction: he stinks but is still better than zambrano
  13. BigNoise
    13. Posted by BigNoise Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:07 pm EDT

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    Yeah, sorry about the missing 'n.' It's been corrected.
    TwentySevenOuts: Baseball America scouts have compared Zimmermann to Curt Schilling. It's fair to say some feel he's a future rotation topper.
  14. Piston Honda
    14. Posted by Piston Honda Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:00 pm EDT

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    4.50 era 1.35 whip and serviceable strike-outs = only if your despereate
  15. Sean
    15. Posted by Sean Thu Sep 03, 2009 9:10 pm EDT

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    Note to Ed.
    Amok.
  16. Trip
    16. Posted by Trip Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:26 pm EDT

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    Noise: Yeah, BA's pretty high on him, I think in the 40's on their list of top 100 prospects right? My info was from BP, just found it – a Future Shock article give his perfect world projection at a #3 and no worse than a 4th or 5th starter. I'm curious to see if the Nat'll actually have him skip AAA all together since they're hurting so bad for starting pitching right now.
  17. PinstripesMakeTheMan
    17. Posted by PinstripesMakeTheMan Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:49 pm EDT

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    No run support, but good all-around stats for his first 4 starts....after that, we'll have to wait to see.
  18. Jared R
    18. Posted by Jared R Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:03 pm EDT

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    Fearless Forecast: He tears it up for the first couple games. By his 9th or 10th start he'll be figured out and get lit up. By that point i'll have already shipped him along with a descent outfielder (rotting on my bench) to the owner of a.j. burnett in both my leagues.
  19. Uncle RayRay
    19. Posted by Uncle RayRay Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:00 pm EDT

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    bakerbaker22: 196 IP, 17 W, 2.89 ERA, 1.11 WHIP,201 K
    haha I love that line....
  20. Nick Meurer
    20. Posted by Nick Meurer Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:39 pm EDT

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    Who would you rather have on your team right now (before the season starts) Cueto or Zimmermann? I ask, because I have Cueto, but I could trade/drop him and pick up Zimmermann. Thoughts?
  21. Jared R
    21. Posted by Jared R Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:03 pm EDT

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    I personally would rather have Cueto. After articles like this Zimmermann will definitely be the better trade bait but, he's 22 and he plays for a non playoff contender. Even if he is dominating he will still be shut down around 150 innings. No reason to waste that arm this year. Cueto on the other hand has Dusty Baker in his corner to kill his career.
  22. shane b
    22. Posted by shane b Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:35 pm EDT

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    I like Zimmerman, but Cueto is the safer pick. He will have more innings and should post improvements over last year in all categories. He has a year of very valuable experience.
  23. Devon H
    23. Posted by Devon H Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:54 pm EDT

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    This kid is gonna be good :)
  24. million_dollar_sleeper
    24. Posted by million_dollar_sleeper Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:20 pm EDT

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    Don't ask Evans for advice. He wins leagues by accepting lopsided favor trades.
    Do you think I should trade a worthless backup RB for a stud wr Brad? Should I? I prolly should since itd be embarrassing losing to Ted Dibiase!
  25. deen
    25. Posted by deen Thu Sep 03, 2009 2:44 pm EDT

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    C'Mon people...This happens every year..Some "young gun" looks good and then the fantasy world goes nuts, "OMFG this SP is awesome who should I drop for him"? And then only to drop him a few weeks later because he's getting shelled..
    Theres gotta be something better on your waiver wire then some kid with 12.1 spring innings..Dont mean to dwonplay this kid, just saying theres gotta be more than 12.1 innings from this kid before I get excited.

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