Roto Arcade - Fantasy

Thu Nov 05, 2009 9:41 am EST

Early Position Ranks, Week 9

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Brandon Jacobs(notes) owners, your long nightmare is over. This is his week.

If Jacobs does not deliver a 15-point fantasy line against San Diego on Sunday, we're willing to waive all Roto Arcade Insider™ fees for November. That is how confident we are.

In a week where the NFL's most user-friendly run defenses all have byes (Buffalo, Cleveland, Oakland, St. Louis), the Chargers are the team to pick on. They've given up 132.1 rushing yards per game. San Diego allows more fantasy points to opposing running backs than any other team active in Week 9. And right now, Ahmad Bradshaw(notes) is running on a peg leg. Jacobs is an outstanding play. Start him with full confidence.

He's near the top of the early ranks, prepared to serve…

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Quarterbacks

This week, that commenter who routinely complains that we've disrespected Matt Schaub(notes) may finally have a case. Schaub is third in the NFL in passing yards per game (292.8) and he's tied for first in total touchdowns (16), yet he's only tenth in the preliminary ranks. (Nothing is final 'til Friday). His circumstances are challenging in Week 9. The Colts have given up only three passing TDs all year, and Schaub will be without Owen Daniels(notes) (ACL) for the remainder of the year. Steve Slaton's(notes) post-benching role remains a mystery, too. ... Tony Romo(notes) returns to the crime scene in Philadelphia. He's facing a defense that's second in the league in sacks (23.0) and third in interceptions (14). The Eagles have held six of their seven opponents to 17 points or less. ... Matt Cassel(notes) is coming off a bye and facing a Jacksonville defense that doesn't rush the passer (league-worst 5.0 sacks) and doesn't typically generate turnovers (five INTs). ... The case to add Alex Smith this week is easily made. The Titans have allowed more passing yards than any team in the league (282.4 per game), more touchdown passes (19) and the highest completion percentage (71.2). ... If you're playing for the top pick in next year's draft, go ahead and roll with Josh Freeman(notes)

Running Backs

Ryan Grant(notes) rarely ranks as a strong play, but he'll get a Tampa Bay defense that's given up 162.4 rushing yards per game and 4.7 per carry. ... Yeah, that's an optimistic rank for Jamaal Charles(notes), particularly when you consider the fact that Kansas City has yet to score a rushing touchdown this year. But with Larry Johnson(notes) taking his annual mid-season break, Charles is in line for a full workload against a defense that just allowed 305 rushing yards to the one-dimensional Titans. Kolby Smith(notes) figures to make a cameo, but that's it. ... If the practice reports on Donald Brown(notes) (shoulder) remain relatively positive, he'll force his way into the ranks and Joseph Addai(notes) will obviously take a small hit. ... Kevin Smith(notes) (shoulder) did not practice on Wednesday, but he's expected to participate on Thursday. His head coach just called him "our workhorse running back," so don't fret about Maurice Morris(notes). ... Running behind a miserable offensive line, Matt Forte(notes) managed only 3.5 yards per carry against the Browns. His longest carry went for 12 yards. If you're not shopping him furiously right now, then you're not trying. ... It's no easy task to rank the various pieces of the Houston backfield this week. We know that Steve Slaton isn't going to disappear entirely, but Gary Kubiak won't get into specifics about workload distribution in advance of the Colts game. Indy's defense allows 4.5 yards per rush, so there's an opportunity for someone to post useful fantasy totals. ... Regarding Ricky Williams(notes): The argument for ranking him No. 31 this week is really the same as last week's argument, when we ranked him No. 26 among the RBs (and he finished 32nd). He's just not getting the ball enough to justify regular placement in the top 15; his carries have been in the single digits each of the past two weeks. As long as that continues, it's tough to rank him as more than flex option. 

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Wide Receivers and Tight Ends

Anquan Boldin(notes) (ankle) was excluded from the early ranks, because it seems foolish and unnecessary for the Cards to risk a re-re-re-aggravation of his ankle injury in Week 9. Ken Whisenhunt's cryptic statements offer little hope to Boldin owners. ... Roy Williams would like you to know that he is still the No. 1 receiver in Dallas. Because apparently "No. 1 receiver" is more of a ceremonial title with the Cowboys. ... The news on Calvin Johnson(notes) (knee) isn't great just yet, but it's slightly better than last week. Megatron was a limited participant in practice on Wednesday. ... Last call on the widely available Malcom Floyd(notes). Get him. Hurry. ... New York's Kevin Boss(notes) and Washington's Fred Davis(notes) are the preferred replacements for Owen Daniels for fantasy purposes this week. Boss gets to face the Chargers, a team that's historically generous to tight ends; Davis is an excellent receiver, and his quarterback is the unrivaled master of the checkdown. ... Jason Witten(notes) is ranked well beyond his year-to-date usefulness for matchup reasons. The Eagles haven't defended tight ends all year. Check the lines they've allowed to Boss, Davis, Zach Miller and Kellen Winslow(notes) over the past four weeks. 

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Photo via Getty Images

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146 Comments

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  1. Iron Man
    1. Posted by Iron Man Thu Nov 05, 2009 9:55 am EST

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    Tony Gonzalez doesn't play for KC anymore.
  2. norrisou
    2. Posted by norrisou Thu Nov 05, 2009 10:02 am EST

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    Wow the Bears over the Atlanta this week? I think I'd start the Lions over the Bears this week...
  3. Scott
    3. Posted by Scott Thu Nov 05, 2009 10:09 am EST

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    You really putting Jamaal Charles that much higher than Matt Forte?? Andy, I trust you way more than Evans... Can you just tell me where Evans puts them, so I can do the opposite?
  4. Lee Majors
    4. Posted by Lee Majors Thu Nov 05, 2009 10:13 am EST

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    An enduring spreadsheet problem...correcting...please be patient...
  5. WOODYMANIA
    5. Posted by WOODYMANIA Thu Nov 05, 2009 10:13 am EST

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    I'm on the alex smith bandwagon.
  6. Lee Majors
    6. Posted by Lee Majors Thu Nov 05, 2009 10:14 am EST

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    I don't want any part of Forte this week. And it's not really his fault; that line gives him no chance, too often.
  7. Dan B
    7. Posted by Dan B Thu Nov 05, 2009 10:15 am EST

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    yeah kinda surpised to see atlanta's D left off the top 12 this week home vs Washington. also i think the 49ers are a little high. is their run d THAT good? cuz if they cant stop chris johnson they wont have a good fantasy day
  8. t p
    8. Posted by t p Thu Nov 05, 2009 10:16 am EST

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    kellen winslow as a heavy sleeper. rip van winkle style. zing!
  9. neyeckay
    9. Posted by neyeckay Thu Nov 05, 2009 10:17 am EST

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    Andy, these rankings are really, really bad. The Atlanta defense appears to have been completely overlooked. Jeremy Shockey ranked 9th for TEs is just insane. And ranking Ronnie Brown at 7 and Ricky Williams at 31 makes...absolutely no sense. Especially since you have people like Jamaal Charles, Slaton, Julius Jones, Reggie Bush, Beanie Wells/Hightower in between them. I could go on and on...
  10. neyeckay
    10. Posted by neyeckay Thu Nov 05, 2009 10:20 am EST

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    One more note on Ricky Williams - he ranks 11th overall in standard fantasy scoring for RBs this year and that's with a bye week already. Ronnie Brown ranks 9th...
    Ricky is easily top 15.
  11. Southy
    11. Posted by Southy Thu Nov 05, 2009 10:20 am EST

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    Good job with the rankings this week guys. Not a lot I'd disagree with. Maybe Desean Jackson should be higher and I don't know what Witten has done so far this season to put him so high. Every team has focused on him in the offense (which I guess is part of the reason Austin has blown up), and Witherspoon has played lights-out since coming to the Eagles. I'd take 3-6 over him easy, and I own him.
  12. kevin f
    12. Posted by kevin f Thu Nov 05, 2009 10:22 am EST

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    3rd... I had Julius Jones stashed away on my bench all season with this week in mind, and now that the time has come for his start against the Lions I dont know if i can pull the trigger! Theres just something fishy bout' it (Justin Forsette is for real and with Edge gone it looks like Mora is starting to see it too..) Soooo.... Double J Julius Jones, Stone Cold Miles Austin, Crabtree, or Manningham in the flex (PPR)
  13. Brent M
    13. Posted by Brent M Thu Nov 05, 2009 10:24 am EST

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    So for the last 8 weeks Ive been saving Jacobs for SD.Wow Im a guru just like you!!
  14. Southy
    14. Posted by Southy Thu Nov 05, 2009 10:27 am EST

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    Kevin I don't think I'd flinch about putting Austin in that flex. If 250 and 171 yards don't concince you that he is THE man in Dallas I don't know what will - even with Samuel and Brown in coverage this week.
  15. kevin f
    15. Posted by kevin f Thu Nov 05, 2009 10:29 am EST

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    Julius Jones, Crabtree, Miles Austin, Jamaal Charles, or manningham in the flex spot????
  16. Mike
    16. Posted by Mike Thu Nov 05, 2009 10:30 am EST

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    LMAO @ #1
    Nice catch!
  17. AJ
    17. Posted by AJ Thu Nov 05, 2009 10:31 am EST

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    Since every expert says "sell high" on Forte, he's not really a "sell high" candidate. To be one, you have to be considered good first, and no one in either of my leagues thinks that is the case or is willing to take the risk that he can put up similar totals (and better YPC) than he did against the Browns. I've been trying to deal him in a PPR league by packaging him with a top WR (maybe Ocho Cinco or even MSW) to grab a better RB, but people aren't really biting. So I'm thinking that he might actually be fairly valued right now, and I am probably going to stay put. My thinking is that even if he has a terrible o-line, he is still THE only back they use, and thus he's still in line for both goal line carries and a minimum of 3-4 passes out of the backfield. At this point, his mediocre-performing fair value is more tied to whether Cutler can move the ball downfield, open up some dump off lanes for him and provide him with a couple of goal line carries per game, which hopefully he doesn't fumble away.
  18. kevin f
    18. Posted by kevin f Thu Nov 05, 2009 10:31 am EST

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    Thanks southy, Philly D is scary though....
  19. Bill
    19. Posted by Bill Thu Nov 05, 2009 10:34 am EST

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    Interesting ranking for Beanie Wells. I'm personally not gonna start him until he has a breakout game or proves he's going to get goalline carries over Hightower.
  20. Nick
    20. Posted by Nick Thu Nov 05, 2009 10:36 am EST

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    should probably have Gonzo playing his real opponents, Washington. His days in KC are over.
  21. Lee Majors
    21. Posted by Lee Majors Thu Nov 05, 2009 10:38 am EST

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    I seem to have the Ricky Williams discussion every week, somewhere. He's done a lot with a very small workload, but he has single-digit carries in four of his seven games.
    The Atlanta defense has not been overlooked.
  22. Brandon
    22. Posted by Brandon Thu Nov 05, 2009 10:40 am EST

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    Not sure why Burleson and Housh are ranked in their respective positions. Burleson gets more targets than Housh and is more explosive when he catches the ball. They really ought to be swapped, unless you feel Housh will whine his way into more targets this week...
  23. TomJ
    23. Posted by TomJ Thu Nov 05, 2009 10:40 am EST

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    Can we get an article listing all the players who use the new 'Magic Mouthpieces' Chucky was so fond of this weekend, so we can know who to start? ;)
  24. Fatwolf
    24. Posted by Fatwolf Thu Nov 05, 2009 10:42 am EST

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    Yeah, Forte isn't really tradeable right now cause folks aren't buying his return to the top. I'm gonna sit on him and see what happens. He's probably this years biggest bust along withT.O.
  25. billy
    25. Posted by billy Thu Nov 05, 2009 10:42 am EST

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    jamaaaaal charles gets 138 yrd rushing and 1 td

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