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Daily Dime: Going chalk with Clayton Kershaw and stacking the Dodgers

Daily Dime: Going chalk with Clayton Kershaw and stacking the Dodgers

Here are 10 DFS recommendations for Saturday but be sure to double-check the weather and lineups before first pitch approaches.

Clayton Kershaw, SP, at Mia (Koehler), $12300 at FanDuel: This is obviously going chalk, but the prices lately with hitters have made paying up for the No. 1 SP of the day more palatable. The Marlins have scored the seventh-fewest runs in MLB this year (although to be fair they’ve been better against LHP), and the Dodgers are easily the most favored team Saturday (-200). Kershaw is sitting with just a 5-5 record on the year and a disappointing (for him) 3.33 ERA, but I’d still bet on him being the best pitcher from here on out. He’s struck out 41 batters over his last four starts, spanning 27.2 innings.

Victor Martinez, C, vs. CHW (Danks), $3400: He owns a .452/.514/.645 line against southpaws and hits in the middle of Detroit’s lineup as the DH. His struggles against RHP (.495 OPS) thanks to an injury really brings his price down here.

David Ortiz, 1B, at TB (Andriese), $2900: I’ll continue going back to the well with Big Papi against righties until his price changes. Tropicana Field isn’t exactly an ideal place to hit, but Ortiz remains in the cleanup spot and has a .915 OPS with 11 homers over 169 at bats versus RHP this year. Meanwhile, Matt Andriese has allowed a .343 BAA when facing LHB.

Evan Longoria, 3B, vs. Bos (Miley), $2900: He sports an .887 OPS with a 13:13 K:BB ratio versus LHB this season (while also batting .321 at home) and hits in the middle of Tampa Bay’s lineup yet is moderately priced. Wade Miley has served up seven homers with a 1.51 WHIP over 56.1 innings when facing LHB this year.

Jimmy Rollins, SS, at Mia (Koehler), $2300: He’s been terrible this year, but Rollins hit 17 homers and stole 28 bags as recently as last year, and even during his awful start this season, he’s combined for 12 home runs/steals over 214 at bats against right handers. He’s so cheap too.

Danny Santana, SS, at Mil (Garza), $2200: He’s back up and should see time in the outfield with Byron Buxton on the DL. Santana had an .841 OPS with five homers and 12 steals over 282 ABs against RHP last season, so he’s an interesting cheap option if he’s in Minnesota’s lineup Saturday.

D.J. LeMahieu, 2B, at SF (Lincecum), $3000: He’s quietly on pace to score 83 runs and record 20 steals. LeMahieu has hit .328 against RHP this season, and Tim Lincecum has allowed a 1.78 WHIP versus RHB, so there’s a weird reverse-split going on here.

Gregory Polanco, OF, vs. Atl (Teheran), $2200: Even in an extremely disappointing campaign, Polanco has combined for 19 homers/steals over 210 at bats against RHP this season, and he’s as discounted as it gets.

Andre Ethier, OF, at Mia (Koehler), $2300: He’s slumped of late but still owns an .854 OPS with nine homers over 178 at bats against RHP on the year. Tom Koehler has allowed 10 homers over 39.0 innings against left-handed batters.

Joc Pederson, OF, at Mia (Koehler), $3700: The rookie has a .962 OPS with 16 homers over 194 at bats versus RHP, including a .400 OBP. So I’m stacking the Dodgers on Saturday. Koehler has a 21.7 HR/FB% and a 40.0 Hard% against lefties this season.

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