Andrew Luck, still a fantasy value (Getty Images)
By any reasonable standard, Andrew Luck had a successful first season — in many ways, historically successful. Luck led the Colts to an 11-5 record and an unexpected playoff appearance, while establishing new NFL rookie records for passing yards in a season (4374) and game (433). He directed seven game-winning drives, which is insane.
True, his efficiency numbers weren't exceptional last year — 76.5 passer-rating, 54.1 completion percentage — but you really need to understand the system and team context. Last year, under then-coordinator Bruce Arians, Luck led all quarterbacks in deep pass attempts, and by a significant margin. According to Pro Football Focus, 101 of Luck's throws targeted a receiver at least 20 yards downfield. Those are generally low-percentage attempts with high potential yields.
We should also note that Luck was sacked 41 times, the fourth-highest total in the league, and he was hit while throwing another 14 times, which tied for the NFL lead. Indianapolis receivers dropped 50 of his pass attempts, the most in football (again, per PFF). The Colts running game wasn't particularly effective (3.8 YPC), and the team's defense ranked 26th overall, allowing 374.3 yards per game.
So let's not pretend Luck was dealt exactly the same hand as Russell Wilson or RG3, or whoever else. He was placed in a unique situation and performed unreasonably well. Andrew Luck, in a nutshell, is a damn good quarterback coming off a phenomenal year.